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城乡人口迁移对儿童生存的影响。

The impact of rural-urban migration on child survival.

作者信息

Brockerhoff M

机构信息

Research Division, Population Council, New York, NY 10017, USA.

出版信息

Health Transit Rev. 1994 Oct;4(2):127-49.

Abstract

Large rural-urban child mortality differentials in many developing countries suggest that rural families can improve their children's survival chances by leaving the countryside and settling in towns and cities. This study uses data from Demographic and Health Surveys in 17 countries to assess the impact of maternal rural-urban migration on the survival chances of children under age two in the late 1970s and 1980s. Results show that, before migration, children of migrant women had similar or slightly higher mortality risks than children of women who remained in the village. In the two-year period surrounding their mother's migration, their chances of dying increased sharply as a result of accompanying their mothers or being left behind, to levels well above those of rural and urban non-migrant children. Children born after migrants had settled in the urban area, however, gradually experienced much better survival chances than children of rural non-migrants, as well as lower mortality risks than migrants' children born in rural areas before migration. The study concludes that many disadvantaged urban children would probably have been much worse off had their mothers remained in the village, and that millions of children's lives may have been saved in the 1980s as a result of mothers moving to urban areas.

摘要

许多发展中国家城乡儿童死亡率存在巨大差异,这表明农村家庭可以通过离开农村并在城镇定居来提高子女的生存几率。本研究利用17个国家的人口与健康调查数据,评估20世纪70年代末和80年代母亲从农村向城市迁移对两岁以下儿童生存几率的影响。结果显示,在迁移之前,移民妇女的子女比留在村里的妇女的子女有相似或略高的死亡风险。在其母亲迁移前后的两年时间里,由于跟随母亲或被留下,他们的死亡几率急剧上升,远高于农村和城市非移民儿童。然而,移民在城市地区定居后出生的孩子,其生存几率逐渐比农村非移民儿童好得多,而且死亡风险也低于移民在农村地区迁移前出生的孩子。该研究得出结论,如果母亲留在农村,许多处境不利的城市儿童可能会过得更糟,并且在20世纪80年代,由于母亲搬到城市地区,数百万儿童的生命可能因此得以挽救。

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