Maheswaran R, Morris S, Falconer S, Grossinho A, Perry I, Wakefield J, Elliott P
Small Area Health Statistics Unit, Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, Imperial College School of Medicine, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK.
Heart. 1999 Oct;82(4):455-60. doi: 10.1136/hrt.82.4.455.
To examine whether higher concentrations of magnesium in drinking water supplies are associated with lower mortality from acute myocardial infarction at a small area geographical level; to examine if the association is modified by age, sex, and socioeconomic deprivation.
Small area geographical study using 13,794 census enumeration districts. Water constituent concentrations (magnesium, calcium, fluoride, lead) measured at water supply zone and assigned to enumeration districts.
305 water supply zones in north west England.
Resident population of 1,124,623 men and 1,372,036 women (1991 census) aged 45 years or more.
Mortality from acute myocardial infarction, International Classification of Diseases, ninth revision (ICD-9) 410. Subsidiary analysis examined deaths from ischaemic heart disease, ICD 410-414.
There were 21,339 male and 17,883 female deaths from acute myocardial infarction in 1990-92. Drinking water magnesium concentrations in water zones ranged from 2 mg/l to 111 mg/l (mean (SD) 19 (20) mg/l, median 12 mg/l); 24% of variation in magnesium concentrations was within zone and 76% was between zone. The relative risk of mortality from acute myocardial infarction (standardised for age, sex, and Carstairs deprivation quintile) for a quadrupling of magnesium concentrations in drinking water (for example, 20 mg/l v 5 mg/l) was 1.01 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.99 to 1.03). When adjusted for north-south and east-west trends in mortality from acute myocardial infarction and for drinking water calcium, fluoride, and lead concentrations, this relative risk was 1.01 (95% CI 0.96 to 1.06). There was no evidence of a protective effect for acute myocardial infarction even among age, sex, and deprivation groups that were likely to be relatively magnesium deficient. For ischaemic heart disease mortality there was an apparent protective effect of magnesium and calcium (with calcium predominating in the joint model), but these were no longer significant when the geographical trends were incorporated.
No evidence was found of an association between magnesium concentrations in drinking water supplies and mortality from acute myocardial infarction. These results do not support the hypothesis that magnesium is the key water factor in relation to mortality from heart disease.
在小区域地理层面研究饮用水中较高的镁浓度是否与急性心肌梗死死亡率较低相关;研究该关联是否因年龄、性别和社会经济剥夺状况而有所改变。
利用13794个人口普查枚举区进行小区域地理研究。在供水区测量水成分浓度(镁、钙、氟化物、铅)并分配到各枚举区。
英格兰西北部的305个供水区。
年龄在45岁及以上的常住居民,男性1124623人,女性1372036人(1991年人口普查数据)。
急性心肌梗死死亡率,采用国际疾病分类第九版(ICD - 9)编码410。辅助分析研究缺血性心脏病死亡情况,ICD编码410 - 414。
1990 - 1992年,有21339名男性和17883名女性死于急性心肌梗死。水区饮用水中的镁浓度范围为2毫克/升至111毫克/升(均值(标准差)19(20)毫克/升,中位数12毫克/升);镁浓度变化的24%在区内,76%在区与区之间。饮用水中镁浓度增加四倍(例如,20毫克/升对5毫克/升)时,急性心肌梗死死亡率的相对风险(按年龄、性别和卡斯尔斯剥夺五分位数标准化)为1.01(95%置信区间(CI)0.99至1.03)。在对急性心肌梗死死亡率的南北和东西趋势以及饮用水中的钙、氟化物和铅浓度进行调整后,该相对风险为1.01(95%CI 0.96至1.06)。即使在可能相对缺镁的年龄、性别和剥夺状况组中,也没有证据表明对急性心肌梗死有保护作用。对于缺血性心脏病死亡率,镁和钙有明显的保护作用(在联合模型中钙起主要作用),但纳入地理趋势后,这些作用不再显著。
未发现饮用水中镁浓度与急性心肌梗死死亡率之间存在关联。这些结果不支持镁是与心脏病死亡率相关的关键水因素这一假设。