Sjöblom K L, Salo A, Bewers J M, Cooper J, Dyer R S, Lynn N M, Mount M E, Povinec P P, Sazykina T G, Schwarz J, Scott E M, Sivintsev Y V, Tanner J E, Warden J M, Woodhead D
International Atomic Energy Agency, Marine Radiological Division, Vienna, Austria.
Sci Total Environ. 1999 Sep 30;237-238:153-66. doi: 10.1016/s0048-9697(99)00132-1.
The International Atomic Energy Agency responded to the news that the former Soviet Union had dumped radioactive wastes in the shallow waters of the Arctic Seas, by launching the International Arctic Seas Assessment Project in 1993. The project had two objectives: to assess the risks to human health and to the environment associated with the radioactive wastes dumped in the Kara and Barents Seas; and to examine possible remedial actions related to the dumped wastes and to advise on whether they are necessary and justified. The current radiological situation in the Arctic waters was examined to assess whether there is any evidence for releases from the dumped waste. Potential future releases from the dumped wastes were predicted, concentrating on the high-level waste objects containing the major part of the radionuclide inventory of the wastes. Environmental transport of released radionuclides was modelled and the associated radiological impact on humans and the biota was assessed. The feasibility, costs and benefits of possible remedial measures applied to a selected high-level waste object were examined. Releases from identified dumped objects were found to be small and localised to the immediate vicinity of the dumping sites. Projected future annual doses to members of the public in typical local population groups were very small, less than 1 microSv--corresponding to a trivial risk. Projected future doses to a hypothetical group of military personnel patrolling the foreshore of the fjords in which wastes have been dumped were higher, up to 4 mSv/year, which still is of the same order as the average annual natural background dose. Moreover, since any of the proposed remedial actions were estimated to cost several million US$ to implement, remediation was not considered justified on the basis of potentially removing a collective dose of 10 man Sv. Doses calculated to marine fauna were insignificant, orders of magnitude below those at which detrimental effects on fauna populations might be expected to occur. Remediation was thus concluded not to be warranted on radiological grounds.
国际原子能机构针对前苏联在北冰洋浅水区倾倒放射性废物的消息做出回应,于1993年启动了国际北极海评估项目。该项目有两个目标:评估与倾倒在喀拉海和巴伦支海的放射性废物相关的对人类健康和环境的风险;审查与倾倒废物相关的可能的补救行动,并就是否必要和合理提供建议。对北极水域当前的放射状况进行了检查,以评估是否有倾倒废物释放的证据。预测了倾倒废物未来可能的释放情况,重点关注含有废物中大部分放射性核素存量的高放废物对象。对释放的放射性核素的环境迁移进行了建模,并评估了对人类和生物群的相关放射影响。研究了应用于选定高放废物对象的可能补救措施的可行性、成本和效益。发现已识别的倾倒对象的释放量很小,且局限于倾倒场附近区域。预计未来典型当地人群中公众的年剂量非常小,低于1微希沃特,相当于微不足道的风险。预计未来对在废物倾倒所在峡湾海岸巡逻的假设军事人员群体的剂量较高,可达每年4毫希沃特,这仍与年平均天然本底剂量处于同一量级。此外,由于估计任何拟议的补救行动实施成本都将达数百万美元,基于可能消除总计10人·希沃特的剂量,认为补救不合理。计算得出对海洋动物群的剂量微不足道,比预期对动物种群产生有害影响的剂量低几个数量级。因此得出结论,从放射学角度看,没有必要进行补救。