Zorman M, Eich H P, Kokol P, Ohmann C
Laboratory for System Design, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, University of Maribor, Slovenia.
Stud Health Technol Inform. 2001;84(Pt 2):1414-8.
Decision trees have been successfully used for years in many medical decision making applications. Transparent representation of acquired knowledge and fast algorithms made decision trees one of the most often used symbolic machine learning approaches. This paper concentrates on the problem of separating acute appendicitis, which is a special problem of acute abdominal pain from other diseases that cause acute abdominal pain by use of an decision tree approach. Early and accurate diagnosing of acute appendicitis is still a difficult and challenging problem in everyday clinical routine. An important factor in the error rate is poor discrimination between acute appendicitis and other diseases that cause acute abdominal pain. This error rate is still high, despite considerable improvements in history-taking and clinical examination, computer-aided decision-support and special investigation, such as ultrasound. We investigated three different large databases with cases of acute abdominal pain to complete this task as successful as possible. The results show that the size of the database does not necessary directly influence the success of the decision tree built on it. Surprisingly we got the best results from the decision trees built on the smallest and the biggest database, where the database with medium size (relative to the other two) was not so successful. Despite that we were able to produce decision tree classifiers that were capable of producing correct decisions on test data sets with accuracy up to 84%, sensitivity to acute appendicitis up to 90%, and specificity up to 80% on the same test set.
多年来,决策树已成功应用于许多医学决策应用中。所获取知识的透明表示和快速算法使决策树成为最常用的符号机器学习方法之一。本文专注于区分急性阑尾炎的问题,这是急性腹痛中的一个特殊问题,即通过决策树方法将其与其他导致急性腹痛的疾病区分开来。在日常临床实践中,急性阑尾炎的早期准确诊断仍然是一个困难且具有挑战性的问题。错误率的一个重要因素是急性阑尾炎与其他导致急性腹痛的疾病之间的鉴别不佳。尽管在病史采集、临床检查、计算机辅助决策支持以及特殊检查(如超声检查)方面有了相当大的改进,但这个错误率仍然很高。我们研究了三个不同的包含急性腹痛病例的大型数据库,以尽可能成功地完成这项任务。结果表明,数据库的大小不一定直接影响基于它构建的决策树的成功率。令人惊讶的是,我们在最小和最大的数据库上构建的决策树取得了最好的结果,而中等规模(相对于其他两个)的数据库则不太成功。尽管如此,我们能够生成决策树分类器,在相同的测试数据集上,这些分类器对测试数据集做出正确决策的准确率高达84%,对急性阑尾炎的敏感性高达90%,特异性高达80%。