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日本川崎病病史者的死亡率:第五次观察。

Mortality among persons with a history of Kawasaki disease in Japan: the fifth look.

作者信息

Nakamura Yosikazu, Yanagawa Hiroshi, Harada Kensuke, Kato Hirohisa, Kawasaki Tomisaku

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Jichi Medical School, 3311-1 Yakushiji, Minamikawachi, Tochigi 329-0498, Japan.

出版信息

Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2002 Feb;156(2):162-5. doi: 10.1001/archpedi.156.2.162.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether patients with Kawasaki disease have a higher death rate than an age-matched healthy population after disease occurrence.

STUDY DESIGN

From July 1, 1982, to December 31, 1992, 52 collaborating hospitals collected data on all patients with a new definite diagnosis of Kawasaki disease. Patients were followed up until December 31, 1999, or death. The expected number of deaths was calculated from Japanese vital statistics data and compared with the observed number.

RESULTS

Of 6576 patients enrolled, 27 (19 male, 8 female) died. The standardized mortality ratio (the observed number of deaths divided by the expected number of deaths based on the vital statistics in Japan) was 1.25 (95% confidence interval, 0.84-1.85). Despite the high standardized mortality ratios during the acute disease phase, the mortality rate was not high after the acute phase for the entire group of patients. Although the standardized mortality ratio after the acute phase was 0.76 for those without cardiac sequelae, 6 male patients (no female patients) with cardiac sequelae died during this period, and the standardized mortality ratio for the male group with cardiac sequelae was 2.35 (95% confidence interval, 0.96-5.19).

CONCLUSIONS

Although it was not statistically significant, the mortality rate among male patients with cardiac sequelae due to Kawasaki disease seemed higher than that in the general population. On the other hand, mortality rates for female patients with sequelae and both male and female patients without sequelae were not elevated.

摘要

目的

确定川崎病患者在发病后死亡率是否高于年龄匹配的健康人群。

研究设计

1982年7月1日至1992年12月31日,52家合作医院收集了所有新确诊为川崎病患者的数据。对患者进行随访至1999年12月31日或死亡。根据日本生命统计数据计算预期死亡人数,并与观察到的死亡人数进行比较。

结果

6576名登记患者中,27人(19名男性,8名女性)死亡。标准化死亡率(观察到的死亡人数除以基于日本生命统计数据的预期死亡人数)为1.25(95%置信区间,0.84 - 1.85)。尽管急性期标准化死亡率较高,但整个患者组在急性期后死亡率并不高。对于无心脏后遗症的患者,急性期后标准化死亡率为0.76,在此期间,6名有心脏后遗症的男性患者(无女性患者)死亡,有心脏后遗症的男性组标准化死亡率为2.35(95%置信区间,0.96 - 5.19)。

结论

虽然无统计学意义,但川崎病所致有心脏后遗症的男性患者死亡率似乎高于一般人群。另一方面,有后遗症的女性患者以及无后遗症的男性和女性患者死亡率并未升高。

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