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极端降雨的区域频率分析

Regional frequency analysis of extreme rainfalls.

作者信息

Nguyen V T V, Nguyen T D, Ashkar F

机构信息

Department of Civil Engineering and Applied Mechanics, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

出版信息

Water Sci Technol. 2002;45(2):75-81.

Abstract

This study proposes two alternative methods for estimating the distribution of extreme rainfalls for sites where rainfall data are available (gaged sites) and for locations without data (ungaged sites). The first method deals with the estimation of short-duration rainfall extremes from available rainfall data for longer durations using the "scale-invariance" concept to account for the relationship between statistical properties of extreme rainfall processes for different time scales. The second method is concerned with the estimation of extreme rainfalls for ungaged sites. This method relies on a new definition of homogeneous sites. Results of the numerical application using data from a network of 10 recording rain gauges in Quebec (Canada) indicate that the proposed methods are able to provide extreme rainfall estimates that are comparable with those based on observed at-site rainfall data.

摘要

本研究提出了两种替代方法,用于估算有降雨数据的站点(有测量站点)和无数据的地点(无测量站点)的极端降雨分布。第一种方法利用“尺度不变性”概念,根据较长持续时间的可用降雨数据来估算短持续时间的降雨极值,以考虑不同时间尺度下极端降雨过程统计特性之间的关系。第二种方法关注无测量站点的极端降雨估算。该方法依赖于对同质站点的新定义。使用加拿大魁北克省10个记录雨量计网络的数据进行数值应用的结果表明,所提出的方法能够提供与基于现场观测降雨数据的估算结果相当的极端降雨估算值。

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