Coresh J, Goldman N
Math Popul Stud. 1988;1(2):137-56, 207. doi: 10.1080/08898488809525268.
"The kinship formulas developed by Goodman, Keyfitz, and Pullum (1974) are extended to encompass populations in which fertility varies among women. An expression is derived to determine the amount by which the number of sisters in a heterogeneous population exceeds that in a population with homogeneous fertility. This expression, which is a function of the variance in the gross reproduction rate of the population, can readily be applied to numbers of other kin, such as aunts and cousins. Several trial calculations indicate that calculations of average numbers of sisters based on an assumption of uniform fertility could result in a underestimate of about 13 percent." (SUMMARY IN FRE)
古德曼、凯菲茨和普拉姆(1974年)提出的亲属关系公式得到扩展,以涵盖女性生育率存在差异的人群。推导出一个表达式,用于确定异质人群中姐妹数量超过同质生育率人群中姐妹数量的数量。该表达式是人口总繁殖率方差的函数,可轻松应用于其他亲属数量的计算,如姑姑和表亲。几项试算表明,基于生育率均匀的假设来计算姐妹的平均数量可能会导致约13%的低估。(法语摘要)