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经济增长的社会学解释。

Sociological explanations of economic growth.

作者信息

Marsh R M

出版信息

Stud Comp Int Dev. 1988 Winter;13(4):41-76. doi: 10.1007/BF02686984.

Abstract

Even if questions of how resources are distributed within and between societies are the main concern, it is necessary to continue to grapple with the issue of the causes of economic growth since economic growth and level of development continue to be among the most important causes of inequality, poverty, unemployment, and the quality of life. This paper's dependent variable is the economic growth rate of 55 less developed countries (LDCs) over 2 time periods. 1970-78 and 1965-84. The causal model consists of control variables--level of development and domestic investment in 1965--and a variety of independent variables drawn from major sociological theories of economic growth published during the last 3 decades. Multiple regression analysis shows that, net of the effects of the 2 control variables, the variables which have the strongest effect on economic growth are: 1) direct foreign investment, which has a negative effect, 2) the proportion of the population in military service, and 3) the primary school enrollment ratio, both of which have positive effects on economic growth. On the other hand, variables drawn from some theories receive no empirical support. The mass media of communications, ethnolinguistic heterogeneity, democracy and human rights, income inequality, and state-centric theory's key variable, state strength, all fail to show any significant impact on economic growth rates when the control variables and the significant independent variables are held constant. The theoretical implications of these findings are discussed.

摘要

即便社会内部及社会之间资源分配问题是主要关注点,但由于经济增长和发展水平仍是不平等、贫困、失业及生活质量的最重要成因之一,所以仍有必要继续应对经济增长的成因问题。本文的因变量是55个欠发达国家在两个时间段(1970 - 1978年和1965 - 1984年)的经济增长率。因果模型包括控制变量——1965年的发展水平和国内投资——以及从过去三十年发表的主要经济增长社会学理论中提取的各种自变量。多元回归分析表明,在剔除两个控制变量的影响后,对经济增长影响最强的变量有:1)外国直接投资,其具有负面影响;2)服兵役人口比例;3)小学入学率,这两个变量对经济增长均有正面影响。另一方面,一些理论中的变量未得到实证支持。当控制变量和显著自变量保持不变时,大众传播媒介、民族语言异质性、民主与人权、收入不平等以及国家中心理论的关键变量——国家实力,均未对经济增长率显示出任何显著影响。本文讨论了这些研究结果的理论意义。

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