Roy L, Guimond E
Cah Que Demogr. 1995 Spring;24(1):87-108.
"Demographic perspectives form an integral part in the development of electric load forecasts. These forecasts in turn are used to justify the addition and repair of generating facilities that will supply power in the coming decades. The goal of this article is to present how demographic perspectives are incorporated into the electric load forecasting in Quebec. The first part presents the methods, hypotheses and results of population and household projections used by Hydro-Quebec in updating its latest development plan. The second section demonstrates applications of such demographic projections for forecasting the electric load, with a focus on the residential sector." (SUMMARY IN ENG AND SPA)
人口统计学视角在电力负荷预测的发展中构成不可或缺的一部分。这些预测反过来又被用于证明在未来几十年将供电的发电设施的增建和维修的合理性。本文的目的是介绍人口统计学视角如何被纳入魁北克的电力负荷预测中。第一部分介绍了魁北克水电公司在更新其最新发展计划时所使用的人口和家庭预测的方法、假设和结果。第二部分展示了此类人口预测在电力负荷预测中的应用,重点是住宅部门。 (英文和西班牙文摘要)