Phocas F, Laloë D
Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, Station de Génétique Quantitative et Appliquée, 78 352 Jouy-en-Josas Cedex, France.
J Anim Sci. 2003 Apr;81(4):933-8. doi: 10.2527/2003.814933x.
Calving difficulty was analyzed under threshold and linear models considering either a fixed or random herd-year effect. The aim of the study was to compare models for predicting breeding values according to the size of herd-year groups. When simulating data sets with small herds, in order to obtain an unbiased evaluation under a nonrandom and negative association of sire and herd effects, the best model for a practical evaluation was the fixed linear model. Field data included 246,576 records of the largest Charolais herds in France. Models were compared using the correlations of estimated breeding values between the different models. Although the best model from a theoretical point of view was a threshold model with a fixed herd-year effect, a linear model with a fixed herd-year effect was the best choice from a practical point of view for predicting direct effects for calving difficulty in beef cattle and was a sufficient choice for predicting the associated maternal effects for data set with large herds. Correlations between direct estimated breeding values under the reference model and the fixed linear model and the random threshold model were 0.94 and 0.91, respectively. Correlations between the corresponding maternal estimated breeding values were 0.94 and 0.98. Heritabilities of direct effects were 0.27 and 0.14 under fixed threshold and fixed linear models, respectively. The corresponding heritabilities of maternal effects were 0.18 and 0.13, and the genetic correlation between direct and maternal effects were -0.36 and -0.34, respectively.
在考虑固定或随机畜群-年份效应的阈值模型和线性模型下分析了产犊难度。本研究的目的是根据畜群-年份组的规模比较预测育种值的模型。在模拟小畜群数据集时,为了在种公牛和畜群效应的非随机负相关下获得无偏评估,实际评估的最佳模型是固定线性模型。现场数据包括法国最大夏洛来牛群的246,576条记录。使用不同模型之间估计育种值的相关性对模型进行比较。尽管从理论角度来看最佳模型是具有固定畜群-年份效应的阈值模型,但从实际角度来看,具有固定畜群-年份效应的线性模型是预测肉牛产犊难度直接效应的最佳选择,并且对于预测大畜群数据集的相关母体效应而言是一个足够的选择。参考模型与固定线性模型以及随机阈值模型下直接估计育种值之间的相关性分别为0.94和0.91。相应母体估计育种值之间的相关性为0.94和0.98。在固定阈值模型和固定线性模型下,直接效应的遗传力分别为0.27和0.14。母体效应的相应遗传力为0.18和0.13,直接效应与母体效应之间的遗传相关性分别为-0.36和-0.34。