Slothuus Skjoldborg Ulla, Gyrd-Hansen Dorte
Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark-Main Campus: Odense, Denmark.
Health Econ. 2003 Jun;12(6):479-91. doi: 10.1002/hec.742.
This paper seeks to enlighten the readers on the potential complexities involved in including cost variables in conjoint analysis, with the aim of emphasising that interpretation of implicit WTP values should be tackled with caution. To illustrate the potential pitfalls, a large data set from a recent Danish study is applied. The data consists of 1991 interviews in which participants are required to perform three discrete choice tasks regarding choice of hospitals, and three choice tasks involving health-care systems in general. Model comparisons are performed which test the effect of (1) the cost range applied and (2) the effect of including a dummy variable to represent the utility associated with payment per se. A wider cost range including higher payments is associated with lower parameter weights associated with the payment variable, and thus increased WTP values. Including a dummy variable to explain utility associated with payment per se has significant effects on the model incurring some of the other variables to become insignificant, and others to change sign. Results suggest that inclusion of a two-dimensional structure to explain the relationship between cost and utility may avoid erroneous conclusions and give rise to significant changes in implicit WTP estimates.
本文旨在让读者了解联合分析中纳入成本变量可能涉及的潜在复杂性,目的是强调对隐含支付意愿(WTP)值的解释应谨慎对待。为说明潜在的陷阱,应用了近期丹麦一项研究的大数据集。该数据包括1991次访谈,其中参与者需就医院选择执行三项离散选择任务,以及三项总体涉及医疗保健系统的选择任务。进行了模型比较,测试了(1)所应用的成本范围的影响,以及(2)纳入一个虚拟变量以表示与支付本身相关的效用的影响。包括更高支付的更广泛成本范围与支付变量相关的较低参数权重相关,从而提高了WTP值。纳入一个虚拟变量来解释与支付本身相关的效用对模型有显著影响,导致其他一些变量变得不显著,而另一些变量改变符号。结果表明,纳入二维结构来解释成本与效用之间的关系可能避免错误结论,并导致隐含WTP估计值发生显著变化。