Tobías A, Galán I, Banegas J R, Aránguez E
Department of Statistics and Econometrics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Getafe, Spain.
Thorax. 2003 Aug;58(8):708-10. doi: 10.1136/thorax.58.8.708.
Few studies have used time series to investigate the relationship between asthma attacks and aeroallergen levels on a daily basis.
This study, based on time series analysis adjusting for meteorological factors and air pollution variables, assessed the short term effects of different types of allergenic pollen on asthma hospital emergencies in the metropolitan area of Madrid (Spain) for the period 1995-8.
Statistically significant associations were found for Poaceae pollen (lag of 3 days) and Plantago pollen (lag of 2 days), representing an increase in the range between the 99th and 95th percentiles of 17.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 3.2 to 32.8) and 15.9% (95% CI 6.5 to 26.2) for Poaceae and Plantago, respectively. A positive association was also observed for Urticaceae (lag of 1 day) with an 8.4% increase (95% CI 2.8 to 14.4).
There is an association between pollen levels and asthma related emergencies, independent of the effect of air pollutants. The marked relationship observed for Poaceae and Plantago pollens suggests their implication in the epidemic distribution of asthma during the period coinciding with their abrupt release into the environment.
很少有研究使用时间序列来每日调查哮喘发作与空气过敏原水平之间的关系。
本研究基于对气象因素和空气污染变量进行调整的时间序列分析,评估了1995 - 1998年期间西班牙马德里大都市区不同类型致敏花粉对哮喘医院急诊的短期影响。
发现禾本科花粉(滞后3天)和车前草花粉(滞后2天)存在统计学显著关联,禾本科和车前草花粉在第99百分位数和第95百分位数之间的增幅分别为17.1%(95%置信区间(CI)3.2至32.8)和15.9%(95%CI 6.5至26.2)。荨麻科(滞后1天)也观察到正相关,增幅为8.4%(95%CI 2.8至14.4)。
花粉水平与哮喘相关急诊之间存在关联,独立于空气污染物的影响。禾本科和车前草花粉观察到的显著关系表明它们在与它们突然释放到环境中相吻合期间的哮喘流行分布中起作用。