Li Qin, Zeng Guang, Ou Jian-ming, Guo Gui-ping
Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Field Epidemiology Training Program, Beijing 100050, China.
Zhonghua Yi Xue Za Zhi. 2003 Jun 10;83(11):906-9.
To investigate the process of SARS transmission and to evaluate infectivity of SARS patients in different periods of disease development.
A case of SARS outbreak beginning from a male, 74-year-old patient in Beijing. Two hundred and seventy five primary, secondary and tertiary contacts, including family members relatives, colleagues, and others exposed to him, were traced by field investigation and telephone interview using a standardized questionnaire. The transmission process and infectivity of disease were analyzed with transmission chain diagram and contact history diagram.
Among the 275 contacts of the index case, 41 fell ill of SARS with an attack rate of 14.9% and 5 deaths with a fatality rate of 12.2%. The transmission chain of this outbreak could be clearly delineated, and all the 41 cases had close contacts with their infectors, SARS cases of the previous generation within the symptomatic period thereof. All of the 114 contacts that contacted their infectors, SARS cases of the previous generation during the incubation period thereof remained healthy. The incubation period of 27 cases that had contacted their infectors only once was 1 - 10 days with a median of 3 days. The highest risk of being infected was caring the patients unprotectedly, followed by living together with patient, visiting patient, and handling patient without protection.
All the secondary cases have the history of close contact with their symptomatic infectors of previous generation. It cannot be proved at all that SARS is infective during the incubation period. The infectivity of SARS is related to the degree of closeness of contact with the patient.
调查严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)的传播过程,并评估SARS患者在疾病发展不同阶段的传染性。
以北京一名74岁男性患者引发的SARS疫情为例。通过现场调查和电话访谈,使用标准化问卷对275名一级、二级和三级接触者进行追踪,这些接触者包括家庭成员、亲属、同事以及其他接触过该患者的人。采用传播链图和接触史图分析疾病的传播过程和传染性。
在该首例病例的275名接触者中,41人感染SARS,罹患率为14.9%,5人死亡,病死率为12.2%。此次疫情的传播链清晰可辨,所有41例病例均与其感染源(上一代有症状期的SARS病例)有密切接触。在潜伏期接触感染源(上一代SARS病例)的114名接触者均未发病。仅接触过一次感染源的27例病例的潜伏期为1至10天,中位数为3天。感染风险最高的是无防护护理患者,其次是与患者共同生活、探访患者以及无防护接触患者。
所有二代病例均有与上一代有症状的感染源密切接触史。完全无法证明SARS在潜伏期具有传染性。SARS的传染性与和患者接触的密切程度有关。