Balogh Zsolt J, Varga Endre, Tomka János, Süveges Gábor, Tóth László, Simonka János A
Department of Traumatology, Albert Szent-Györgyi Medical and Pharmaceutical Center, University of Szeged, Szeged, Hungary.
J Orthop Trauma. 2003 Aug;17(7):508-12. doi: 10.1097/00005131-200308000-00006.
To compare the scoring efficacy of the injury severity score (ISS) and the new injury severity score (NISS) in predicting extended hospital length of stay (LOS) and intensive care unit (ICU) admission and to determine the effect of multiple orthopaedic injuries (MOI) on the discrepancies between the ISS and NISS and their impact on extended LOS and ICU admission.
Prospective cohort study.
Level 1 university trauma center.
All consecutive trauma admissions during the 2-year period ending on December 31, 2000, with age older than 14 years and survival greater than 24 hours were entered into the study.
Extended (>or=10 days) hospital LOS and ICU admission.
Of 3,100 patients, 7.5% had a higher NISS than ISS, spent more days in the hospital (22 versus 8; P < 0.001) and in the ICU (3.4 versus 0.1; P < 0.001), and had a higher mortality rate (8% versus 1.2%; P < 0.001) than patients with identical NISS and ISS. The NISS was found to be more predictive of longer (>or=10 days) LOS (receiver operating characteristic [ROC] NISS = 0.794, ISS = 0.782; P < 0.0001) and ICU admission (ROC NISS = 0.944, ISS = 0.918; P < 0.0001). The multivariate predictive model including NISS showed a better goodness of fit compared with the same model that included ISS. Patients with discrepant scores (NISS > ISS) spent a longer time in the hospital and in the ICU in addition to having an increased frequency of ICU admission. In 61% of the cases, MOI were responsible for the discrepant (NISS > ISS) scores.
MOI have a significant effect on trauma outcomes such as LOS and ICU admission. The recognition of this high-risk group is not possible using the traditional ISS alone from retrospective or prospective databases. Considering its easier calculation and better predictive power, it is suggested that the NISS should replace the traditional ISS in trauma outcome research.
比较损伤严重程度评分(ISS)和新损伤严重程度评分(NISS)在预测延长住院时间(LOS)和重症监护病房(ICU)入住方面的评分效能,并确定多发骨科损伤(MOI)对ISS和NISS差异的影响及其对延长LOS和ICU入住的影响。
前瞻性队列研究。
一级大学创伤中心。
纳入2000年12月31日结束的2年期间内所有连续收治的创伤患者,年龄大于14岁且存活超过24小时。
延长(≥10天)住院LOS和ICU入住。
在3100例患者中,7.5%的患者NISS高于ISS,其住院天数(22天对8天;P<0.001)和ICU住院天数(3.4天对0.1天;P<0.001)更多,死亡率也高于NISS和ISS相同的患者(8%对1.2%;P<0.001)。发现NISS对更长(≥10天)LOS的预测性更强(受试者工作特征曲线[ROC]NISS = 0.794,ISS = 0.782;P<0.0001)以及对ICU入住的预测性更强(ROC NISS = 0.944,ISS = 0.918;P<0.0001)。与包含ISS的相同模型相比,包含NISS的多变量预测模型显示出更好的拟合优度。评分有差异(NISS>ISS)的患者除了ICU入住频率增加外,在医院和ICU的停留时间更长。在61%的病例中,MOI导致了评分差异(NISS>ISS)。
MOI对LOS和ICU入住等创伤结局有显著影响。仅使用传统的ISS无法从回顾性或前瞻性数据库中识别出这一高危人群。考虑到其计算更简便且预测能力更强,建议在创伤结局研究中NISS应取代传统的ISS。