Gunst K, Mesotten K, Carbonez A, Willems G
Department of Orthodontics, Faculty of Medicine, School of Dentistry, Oral Pathology and Maxillo-Facial Surgery, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Kapucijnenvoer 7, B-3000, Leuven, Belgium.
Forensic Sci Int. 2003 Sep 9;136(1-3):52-7. doi: 10.1016/s0379-0738(03)00263-9.
The aim of the present investigation, which is a continuation and extension of a previous published pilot study [Forensic Sci. Int. 129 (2002) 110], was to calculate the chronological age of an individual based on the dental developmental stages of third molars (so-called wisdom teeth). The evaluated material consisted of 2513 orthopantomograms (OPG's) of patients all of Belgian Caucasian origin between 15.7 and 23.3 years. The sample of OPG's was scored by two observers who were calibrated for intra- and interobserver reliability by means of kappa statistics. The kappa statistics revealed a strong agreement between the intra- and interobserver measurements. Further statistical analysis was performed in order to obtain multiple regression formulae for dental age calculation with the chronological age as the independent variable and the third molar developmental stages as dependent variables. Both for males and females a significant Pearson correlation coefficient was noticed for contralateral third molars, a smaller less significant one for the antimeres. For the application of the regression formulae one has to take into consideration the gender, the location and number of wisdom teeth. Probabilities for an individual to be older than 18 years were also calculated in case of fully developed wisdom teeth.
本研究是此前已发表的一项初步研究[《法医学国际》129(2002)110]的延续和扩展,其目的是根据第三磨牙(即所谓的智齿)的牙齿发育阶段计算个体的实足年龄。评估材料包括2513张患者的口腔全景X线片(OPG),这些患者均为比利时白种人,年龄在15.7至23.3岁之间。OPG样本由两名观察者评分,通过kappa统计对观察者内和观察者间的可靠性进行校准。kappa统计显示观察者内和观察者间测量结果高度一致。进行了进一步的统计分析,以获得用于计算牙齿年龄的多元回归公式,将实足年龄作为自变量,第三磨牙发育阶段作为因变量。对于男性和女性,对侧第三磨牙的Pearson相关系数均显著,而对侧牙的相关系数较小且显著性较低。在应用回归公式时,必须考虑性别、智齿的位置和数量。对于智齿完全发育的个体,还计算了其年龄超过18岁的概率。