Holme I
Life Insurance Companies' Institute for Medical Statistics, Ullevål Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Blood Press Suppl. 1992;4:29-34.
This paper reports on a meta analysis in twenty-two randomized both single and multifactor trials regarding the effect of designed cholesterol reduction on total mortality and CHD incidence. Per cent reduction in CHD incidence was 2.5 for every per cent associated net reduction in total cholesterol, but was only 0.74% for total mortality. Since total net reduction in cholesterol was about 5% in all trials combined, the number of participants was far too small to demonstrate a significant expected reduction of 4% in total mortality. However, the 4% reduction lies just outside the observed 95% confidence limits of the overall estimate of effect on total mortality (OR = 1.02; CL 0.97, 1.07). It is concluded that cholesterol reduction must be much larger than 5% to be able to reduce the relative risk of CHD substantially and total mortality moderately.
本文报道了一项荟萃分析,该分析涉及22项关于设计降低胆固醇对总死亡率和冠心病发病率影响的单因素和多因素随机试验。总胆固醇每净降低1%,冠心病发病率降低2.5%,但总死亡率仅降低0.74%。由于所有试验综合起来胆固醇的总净降低约为5%,参与者数量太少,无法证明总死亡率有预期的4%的显著降低。然而,4%的降低恰好超出了对总死亡率影响总体估计的观察到的95%置信区间(OR = 1.02;CL 0.97,1.07)。得出的结论是,胆固醇降低幅度必须远大于5%,才能大幅降低冠心病的相对风险并适度降低总死亡率。