Bellinger D C David C
Children's Hospital Boston, Neuroepidemiology Unit, Harvard Medical School, Farley Basement Box 127, 300 Longwood Avenue, Boston, MA 02115 USA.
Environ Res. 2004 Jul;95(3):394-405. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2003.07.013.
The sizes of the effects observed in studies that rely on neurobehavioral endpoints are often small. Because the mean deficits implied are more modest in magnitude than are those that correspond to the clinical criteria used to diagnose "disease," some observers dismiss them as inconsequential. Other observers argue that the mean deficits take on greater import when viewed as effects on a population rather than on individual members of the population. Several considerations germane to an effort to reconcile these perspectives are discussed: (1) the relative sensitivity of clinical diagnoses and continuously distributed scores on neurobehavioral tests as indices of adverse effect, (2) the syndromal nature of many diagnoses in pediatric neurology and neuropsychology and the implications of shifting nosology, (3) neurobehavioral test-score changes as surrogates or as prodromes for clinically significant deficits, (4) the distinction between individual risk and population risk, and (5) the tendency of the distribution of a risk factor in a population to move up and down as a whole. The clinical and epidemiological perspectives are complementary rather than incompatible.
在依赖神经行为学终点的研究中观察到的效应大小通常较小。由于所暗示的平均缺陷在程度上比那些符合用于诊断“疾病”的临床标准的缺陷更为适度,一些观察者将它们视为无关紧要而不予理会。其他观察者则认为,当将平均缺陷视为对总体人群而非个体成员的影响时,其具有更大的重要性。本文讨论了与调和这些观点相关的几个因素:(1)临床诊断和神经行为测试中连续分布分数作为不良反应指标的相对敏感性;(2)儿科神经病学和神经心理学中许多诊断的综合征性质以及分类学变化的影响;(3)神经行为测试分数变化作为临床上显著缺陷的替代指标或前驱症状;(4)个体风险与总体人群风险之间的区别;(5)总体人群中风险因素分布整体上升和下降的趋势。临床和流行病学观点是互补的而非相互矛盾的。