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曼尼托巴省新生儿出生后六周内出院后再次入院的预测因素:一项基于人群的研究。

Predictors of hospital readmission of Manitoba newborns within six weeks postbirth discharge: a population-based study.

作者信息

Martens Patricia J, Derksen Shelley, Gupta Sumit

机构信息

Manitoba Centre for Health Policy, Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.

出版信息

Pediatrics. 2004 Sep;114(3):708-13. doi: 10.1542/peds.2003-0714-L.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To examine the proportion, geographic variation, and predictors of infant hospital readmission within 6 weeks of the postbirth discharge.

METHODS

A cross-sectional, population-based study was conducted of all infants who were born from 1997 through 2001, linkable to the birth mother, and discharged alive from the hospital (N = 68 681) using hospital discharge files in the Canadian province of Manitoba. The following predictors of readmission were examined using logistic regression: preterm, low birth weight, neighborhood income, geographic location (the North, Rural South, and Urban areas of Winnipeg and Brandon), breastfeeding status, length of stay, maternal age, and type of delivery. Using 9 non-Winnipeg regions and 12 Winnipeg subregions, ecologic correlations (1-tailed Spearman) between newborn hospital readmission rates and the following were examined: 1) a region's overall health status, measured by the premature mortality rate (PMR), or death before aged 75 years and 2) a region's socioeconomic risk, using the Socio-Economic Factor Index (SEFI).

RESULTS

The proportion of infants who were readmitted to the hospital at least once within 6 weeks of postbirth hospital discharge was 3.95%, with respiratory illness the leading cause (22.3% of readmissions). Risk of readmission was higher for infants who were born preterm (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 1.80; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.55-2.10), who were of the 3 lowest income quintiles (lowest: AOR: 2.02; 95% CI: 1.77-2.32; low: AOR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.29-1.71; middle: AOR: 1.26; 95% CI: 1.08-1.47), who resided in the North (AOR: 1.85; 95% CI: 1.66-2.07) or Rural South (AOR: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.14-1.36), who were not breastfed (AOR: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.20-1.44), whose mother's age was 17 or younger (AOR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.10-1.55), whose mother was 18 to 19 years of age (AOR: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.09-144), or who were born by cesarean section (AOR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.19-1.43). Regional readmission rates were correlated with PMR (9 non-Winnipeg regions: r = 0.77 for PMR and r = 0.68 for SEFI; 12 Winnipeg Community Areas: r = 0.49 for PMR and r = 0.73 for SEFI).

CONCLUSIONS

Income and geography are strongly associated with newborn hospital readmission. Modifiable risk factors include increasing breastfeeding rates, decreasing cesarean section rates, and decreasing adolescent pregnancy rates (or increasing adolescent parental support), but these need additional study to establish causation.

摘要

目的

研究出生后出院6周内婴儿再次入院的比例、地理差异及预测因素。

方法

采用基于人群的横断面研究,对1997年至2001年在加拿大曼尼托巴省出生、与生母有联系且出院时存活的所有婴儿(N = 68681)进行研究,数据来源于医院出院档案。使用逻辑回归分析以下再入院预测因素:早产、低出生体重、社区收入、地理位置(北部、农村南部以及温尼伯和布兰登的市区)、母乳喂养状况、住院时间、产妇年龄和分娩方式。利用9个非温尼伯地区和12个温尼伯分区,研究新生儿再入院率与以下因素之间的生态相关性(单尾斯皮尔曼相关性):1)用过早死亡率(PMR)或75岁前死亡率衡量的地区总体健康状况,以及2)使用社会经济因素指数(SEFI)衡量的地区社会经济风险。

结果

出生后出院6周内至少再次入院一次的婴儿比例为3.95%,其中呼吸道疾病是主要原因(占再入院病例的22.3%)。早产婴儿(调整后的优势比[AOR]:1.80;95%置信区间[CI]:1.55 - 2.10)、收入最低的三个五分位数组的婴儿(最低:AOR:2.02;95% CI:1.77 - 2.32;低:AOR:1.48;95% CI:1.29 - 1.71;中等:AOR:1.26;95% CI:1.08 - 1.47)、居住在北部(AOR:1.85;95% CI:1.66 - 2.07)或农村南部(AOR:1.25;95% CI:1.14 - 1.36)、未进行母乳喂养(AOR:1.32;95% CI:1.20 - 1.44)、母亲年龄为17岁及以下(AOR:1.30;95% CI:1.10 - 1.55)、母亲年龄为18至19岁(AOR:1.25;95% CI:1.09 - 1.44)或剖宫产出生(AOR:1.30;95% CI:1.19 - 1.43)的婴儿再入院风险更高。地区再入院率与PMR相关(9个非温尼伯地区:PMR的r = 0.77,SEFI的r = 0.68;12个温尼伯社区区域:PMR的r = 0.49,SEFI的r = 0.73)。

结论

收入和地理位置与新生儿再次入院密切相关。可改变的风险因素包括提高母乳喂养率、降低剖宫产率以及降低青少年怀孕率(或增加对青少年父母的支持),但这些因素需要进一步研究以确定因果关系。

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