Boutis Kathy, Stephens Derek, Lam Kelvin, Ungar Wendy J, Schuh Suzanne
Division of Emergency Medicine, The Hospital for Sick Children, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ont.
CMAJ. 2004 Nov 23;171(11):1353-8. doi: 10.1503/cmaj.1031257.
The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) was considered a "hot zone" for severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2003. In accordance with mandated city-wide infection control measures, the Hospital for Sick Children (HSC) drastically reduced all services while maintaining a fully operational emergency department. Because of the GTA health service suspensions and the overlap of SARS-like symptoms with many common childhood illnesses, this introduced the potential for a change in the volumes of patients visiting the emergency department of the only regional tertiary care children's hospital.
We compared HSC emergency department patient volumes, admission rates and length of stay in the emergency department in the baseline years of 2000-2002 (non-SARS years) with those in 2003 (SARS year). The data from the prior years were modeled as a time series. Using an interrupted time series analysis, we compared the 2003 data for the periods before, during and after the SARS periods with the modeled data for significant differences in the 3 aforementioned outcomes of interest.
Compared with the 2000-2002 data, we found no differences in visits, admission rates or length of stay in the pre-SARS period in 2003. There were significant decreases in visits and length of stay (p < 0.001) and increases in admission rates (p < 0.001) during the periods in 2003 when there were new and active cases of SARS in the GTA. All 3 outcomes returned to expected estimates coincident with the absence of SARS cases from September to December 2003.
During the SARS outbreak in the GTA, the HSC emergency department experienced significantly reduced volumes of patients with low-acuity complaints. This gives insight into utilization rates of a pediatric emergency department during a time when there was additional perceived risk in using emergency department services and provides a foundation for emergency department preparedness policies for SARS-like public health emergencies.
2003年,大多伦多地区(GTA)被视为严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)的“热点地区”。根据全市强制实施的感染控制措施,病童医院(HSC)大幅减少了所有服务,但维持了急诊科的全面运转。由于GTA地区医疗服务暂停,且SARS样症状与许多常见儿童疾病症状重叠,这使得唯一的地区三级护理儿童医院急诊科的就诊量有可能发生变化。
我们将2000 - 2002年(非SARS年)的基线年份与2003年(SARS年)病童医院急诊科的患者就诊量、住院率和急诊科住院时间进行了比较。前几年的数据被建模为时间序列。使用中断时间序列分析,我们将2003年SARS期间之前、期间和之后的数据与建模数据进行比较,以找出上述三个感兴趣结果的显著差异。
与2000 - 2002年的数据相比,我们发现2003年SARS前期的就诊量、住院率或住院时间没有差异。2003年GTA出现新的SARS活跃病例期间,就诊量和住院时间显著下降(p < 0.001),住院率上升(p < 0.001)。2003年9月至12月没有SARS病例时,所有这三个结果都恢复到了预期估计值。
在GTA地区SARS疫情期间,病童医院急诊科低 acuity 投诉患者的就诊量显著减少。这为了解在使用急诊科服务存在额外感知风险时期的儿科急诊科利用率提供了见解,并为应对类似SARS的公共卫生紧急情况的急诊科准备政策奠定了基础。