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儿童期起病癫痫的死亡率

Mortality in childhood-onset epilepsy.

作者信息

Berg Anne T, Shinnar Shlomo, Testa Francine M, Levy Susan R, Smith Susan N, Beckerman Barbara

机构信息

Department of Biological Sciences, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb 60115, USA.

出版信息

Arch Pediatr Adolesc Med. 2004 Dec;158(12):1147-52. doi: 10.1001/archpedi.158.12.1147.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate mortality in children with newly diagnosed epilepsy, to determine the risk of death, and to identify predictors of death from the point of diagnosis.

DESIGN

Prospective community-based cohort of 613 children with newly diagnosed epilepsy. The outcome measure was death. Chi2 Tests were used for bivariate analyses and the Cox proportional hazards model for multivariable analyses. Standardized mortality ratios were used to quantify the excess mortality in the cohort relative to the population.

RESULTS

Thirteen deaths occurred during 4733 person-years of follow-up, for a crude death rate of 2.7 per 1000 person-years (0.52 per 1000 person-years in those with nonsymptomatic epilepsy and 12.6 per 1000 person-years in those with symptomatic epilepsy). Ten deaths were associated with the underlying cause of the seizures, 2 were associated with the occurrence or probable occurrence of seizures, and 1 was unrelated to seizures or the underlying disorder. On multivariable analysis, symptomatic etiology (rate ratio, 10.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1-49.6) and epileptic encephalopathy (rate ratio, 13.3; 95% CI, 3.4-51.7) were independently associated with mortality. The overall standardized mortality ratio for the cohort was 7.54 (95% CI, 4.38-12.99). In children with symptomatic epilepsy, the standardized mortality ratio was 33.46 (95% CI, 18.53-60.43), and in those with nonsymptomatic epilepsy, it was 1.43 (95% CI, 0.36-5.73).

CONCLUSIONS

Children with epilepsy have an increased risk of death. Most deaths occur in children with severe underlying conditions and are not directly related to the occurrence of seizures.

摘要

目的

评估新诊断癫痫患儿的死亡率,确定死亡风险,并从诊断时起识别死亡的预测因素。

设计

基于社区的613名新诊断癫痫患儿的前瞻性队列研究。结局指标为死亡。采用卡方检验进行双变量分析,采用Cox比例风险模型进行多变量分析。使用标准化死亡比来量化队列中相对于总体人群的超额死亡率。

结果

在4733人年的随访期间发生了13例死亡,粗死亡率为每1000人年2.7例(无症状性癫痫患儿为每1000人年0.52例,症状性癫痫患儿为每1000人年12.6例)。10例死亡与癫痫发作的潜在病因相关,2例与癫痫发作的发生或可能发生相关,1例与癫痫发作或潜在疾病无关。多变量分析显示,症状性病因(率比,10.2;95%置信区间[CI],2.1 - 49.6)和癫痫性脑病(率比,13.3;95%CI,3.4 - 51.7)与死亡率独立相关。该队列的总体标准化死亡比为7.54(95%CI,4.38 - 12.99)。在症状性癫痫患儿中,标准化死亡比为33.46(95%CI,18.5

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