Delaney Harold D, Kunitz Stephen J, Zhao Hongwei, Woodall W Gill, Westerberg Vern, Rogers Everett, Wheeler Denise R
Department of Psychology, The University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, New Mexico 87131, USA.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2005 Jun;6(2):105-9. doi: 10.1080/15389580590931554.
The probability of re-arrest for driving while intoxicated (DWI) is compared for four different groups of individuals classified by whether the individual was convicted and, if so, the type of sentence received.
Subsequent re-arrests for DWI were examined for all individuals whose index arrest for DWI had occurred between 1994 and 2001 in a county in New Mexico. The groups included (1) those convicted as a result of the index arrest and sentenced to a 28-day jail/treatment program (N (#)=(#) 2,703); (2) all those not convicted as a result of the index arrest (N = 709); (3) those who were convicted but not sentenced to jail (N = 1,047); and (4) those convicted and sentenced to jail (N = 1,290).
Adjusting for covariates of BAC, number of prior arrests, ethnicity, age, and sex, the probability of not being re-arrested was greatest among those sentenced to the jail/treatment program (Group 1), next highest in the two groups convicted but not sentenced to jail/treatment (Groups 3 and 4), and lowest in the group that was not convicted (Group 2). Length of jail sentence among people convicted but not sentenced to the jail/treatment program was unrelated to the probability of re-arrest.
Conviction for DWI, regardless of the sentence, appears to reduce the probability of re-arrest, and being sentenced to a multi-modal treatment/incarceration program further reduces the probability of re-arrest. However, the other types of sentences do not appear to differ in their impact on probability of re-arrest.
比较因醉酒驾驶(DWI)被定罪的四类不同个体再次被捕的概率,这四类个体按是否被定罪以及若被定罪所接受的刑罚类型进行分类。
对1994年至2001年在新墨西哥州某县首次因DWI被捕的所有个体的后续DWI再次被捕情况进行了检查。这些组包括:(1)因首次被捕被定罪并被判处28天监禁/治疗项目的个体(N = 2,703);(2)所有因首次被捕未被定罪的个体(N = 709);(3)被定罪但未被判处监禁的个体(N = 1,047);以及(4)被定罪并被判处监禁的个体(N = 1,290)。
在对血液酒精浓度(BAC)、先前被捕次数、种族、年龄和性别等协变量进行调整后,被判处监禁/治疗项目的个体(第1组)再次被捕的概率最低,其次是被定罪但未被判处监禁/治疗的两组个体(第3组和第4组),未被定罪的个体组(第2组)再次被捕的概率最高。被定罪但未被判处监禁/治疗项目的个体的监禁刑期长短与再次被捕的概率无关。
DWI被定罪,无论刑罚如何,似乎都能降低再次被捕的概率,而被判处多模式治疗/监禁项目能进一步降低再次被捕的概率。然而,其他类型的刑罚在对再次被捕概率的影响上似乎没有差异。