Baxter Peter J
Institute of Public Health, University of Cambridge, Forvie site, Robinson Way, Cambridge CB2 2SR, UK.
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2005 Jun 15;363(1831):1293-312. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2005.1569.
The Big Flood was the worst natural disaster to befall Britain during the twentieth century, and the scale of its human impact was due to the lack of adequate disaster preparedness. The 307 deaths on land were caused by drowning or from the effects of exposure. Two-thirds occurred in four clusters along the shoreline and mainly comprised inhabitants of post-war prefabricated buildings, bungalows and chalets, with the highest mortality among the elderly. The emergency response was spontaneous and community led, with the main search and rescue completed before central government became involved. No individuals or agencies were blamed for the neglected state of the flood defences or the absence of warnings, along with the post-war shortage of adequate housing, which were the main causes of vulnerability. The media played a limited role, and television was in its infancy. Mental health impacts were either self-limiting or failed to be articulated in a society recovering from the Second World War. The major mitigating factors included the empathetic response of people, locally and nationally, as well as the availability of armed forces personnel based in East Anglia, whose actions played a decisive part in the battle against the sea. The major legacies of the Big Flood were a coastal flood forecasting system, a more scientific approach to sea defences and the building of the Thames barrier.
大洪水是20世纪降临英国的最严重自然灾害,其对人类造成的影响规模是由于缺乏充分的灾害准备。陆地上的307人死亡是由溺水或暴露在外的影响导致的。三分之二的死亡发生在沿海岸线的四个区域,主要包括战后预制建筑、平房和木屋的居民,老年人的死亡率最高。应急响应是自发的且由社区主导,主要的搜救工作在中央政府介入之前就已完成。没有人或机构因防洪设施的疏于维护、缺乏预警以及战后住房短缺(这些是造成脆弱性的主要原因)而受到指责。媒体发挥的作用有限,电视当时还处于起步阶段。心理健康影响要么是自我限制的,要么在一个从第二次世界大战中恢复的社会中没有得到明确表达。主要的缓解因素包括地方和全国人民的同情反应,以及驻扎在东安格利亚的武装部队人员的参与,他们的行动在抗击大海的战斗中起到了决定性作用。大洪水的主要遗产是一个沿海洪水预报系统、一种更科学的海防方法以及泰晤士河防洪闸的建造。