Steinhausler Friedrich
Division of Physics and Biophysics, University of Salzburg, Hellbrunnerstrasse 34, A-5020 Salzburg, Austria.
Health Phys. 2005 Nov;89(5):566-74. doi: 10.1097/01.hp.0000178545.02726.21.
The deployment of a radiological dispersal device (RDD) is likely to result in relatively low radiation exposure of the targeted population, insufficient to cause a severe radiation detriment. Nevertheless, due to atmospheric dispersion of the radioactive material, an urban area equaling several city blocks could be affected. The current knowledge base concerning the response to radiological terrorism, focusing mainly on environmental cleanup and site recovery (CSR) of areas with radioactive contamination due to the deployment of an RDD, is largely derived from military scientific tests or exercises assembled over the past 50 y with only limited applicability to the consequences of an RDD detonating in a city. This paper focuses on the extensive experience in CSR gained in the management of the radiological accident contaminating the Brazilian city of Goiânia in 1987, and managing the aftermath of the Chernobyl reactor accident in 1986. The incident in Goiânia demonstrated the numerous practical difficulties of implementing a sound CSR, based on a balanced judgment of all relevant factors, such as radiation safety, environmental issues, economic consequences, and public fear. A review of the different stages of the intervention policy in the former Soviet Union reveals that risk-benefit cost analysis was not used for the decision-making process during the later stages of the post-accident situation. Instead, a CSR policy was adopted that resulted in continuously escalating costs. The results of this analysis are used to develop an Integrated Cleanup and Site Restoration Concept and recommend practically applicable solutions from Lessons Learned.
放射性散布装置(RDD)的部署可能导致目标人群受到相对较低的辐射照射,不足以造成严重的辐射损害。然而,由于放射性物质的大气扩散,相当于几个城市街区大小的市区可能会受到影响。目前关于应对放射性恐怖主义的知识库,主要侧重于因RDD部署导致的放射性污染区域的环境清理和场地恢复(CSR),很大程度上源于过去50年进行的军事科学试验或演习,对RDD在城市中引爆的后果适用性有限。本文重点关注1987年巴西戈亚尼亚市放射性事故管理以及1986年切尔诺贝利反应堆事故善后处理中积累的丰富的CSR经验。戈亚尼亚市的事故表明,基于对辐射安全、环境问题、经济后果和公众恐惧等所有相关因素的平衡判断,实施合理的CSR存在诸多实际困难。对前苏联干预政策不同阶段的回顾表明,在事故后后期的决策过程中未使用风险效益成本分析。相反,采用了一种CSR政策,导致成本不断攀升。该分析结果用于制定综合清理和场地恢复概念,并从经验教训中推荐切实可行的解决方案。