Catalano Ralph, Bruckner Tim
School of Public Health, University of California, 322 Warren Hall #7360, Berkeley, CA 94720-7360, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2006 Jan 31;103(5):1639-43. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0510567103. Epub 2006 Jan 23.
Population stressors reportedly reduce the human secondary sex ratio (i.e., the odds of a newborn's being male) by, among other mechanisms, inducing the spontaneous abortion of males who would have been born live had mothers not been stressed. Controversy remains as to whether these abortions result from reduced maternal tolerance of males at the low end of a relatively constant distribution of survivability (i.e., the "culled cohort" explanation) or from shifts in the whole distribution of survivability such that more males fall below a relatively constant criterion of maternal tolerance for low survivability (i.e., the "damaged cohort" explanation). These alternatives make opposing predictions regarding the relationship between the secondary sex ratio and lifespan of male birth cohorts. We test the hypothesis that the secondary sex ratio among Swedish cohorts born in the years 1751 through 1912 predicts male cohort life expectancy at birth (i.e., realized lifespan). Our results support the culled cohort argument. We argue that these findings have implications for the basic literature concerned with temporal variation in the secondary sex ratio, for more applied work concerned with the fetal origins of adult health, and for pubic health surveillance.
据报道,人口压力源会降低人类的出生性别比(即新生儿为男性的几率),其作用机制包括,若母亲没有承受压力,本应存活出生的男胎会出现自然流产。关于这些流产是由于在相对恒定的生存能力分布中处于低端的男性的母体耐受性降低(即“淘汰队列”解释),还是由于生存能力的整个分布发生变化,导致更多男性低于母体对低生存能力的相对恒定耐受性标准(即“受损队列”解释),仍存在争议。这些不同观点对出生性别比与男性出生队列寿命之间的关系做出了相反的预测。我们检验了这样一个假设:1751年至1912年出生的瑞典队列中的出生性别比能够预测男性队列的出生时预期寿命(即实际寿命)。我们的结果支持淘汰队列的观点。我们认为,这些发现对有关出生性别比随时间变化的基础文献、对有关成人健康胎儿起源的更多应用研究以及对公共卫生监测都具有启示意义。