McLean Iain
Academic Unit of Obstetrics & Gynaecology and Reproductive Healthcare, The University of Manchester, United Kingdom.
J Forensic Leg Med. 2007 Jan;14(1):16-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jcfm.2005.12.001. Epub 2006 Jan 25.
This study analysed the daily incidence of sexual assault in Greater Manchester with respect to the local weather conditions throughout the year 2002. Cases seen at the St. Mary's Sexual Assault Referral Centre (including police and self-referred clients) for which the date of the assault was known were included in the study. The daily maximum, minimum, and mean temperature, rainfall, wind speed, and hours of sunshine recorded at Manchester Airport were used in correlation and regression analyses. Maximum temperature and hours of sunshine both had a statistically significant (p<0.05 and 0.01, respectively) positive relationship with the number of sexual assaults committed in a day.
本研究分析了2002年全年大曼彻斯特地区性侵犯的每日发生率与当地天气状况的关系。纳入研究的病例为圣玛丽性侵犯转介中心接待的(包括警方转介和自行前来的客户),且已知性侵犯发生日期的案例。研究使用了曼彻斯特机场记录的每日最高温度、最低温度、平均温度、降雨量、风速和日照时长进行相关性和回归分析。最高温度和日照时长与一天内发生的性侵犯数量均呈具有统计学意义的正相关关系(分别为p<0.05和0.01)。