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地震电信号的熵:时间反转下自然时间中的分析

Entropy of seismic electric signals: analysis in natural time under time reversal.

作者信息

Varotsos P A, Sarlis N V, Skordas E S, Tanaka H K, Lazaridou M S

机构信息

Solid State Section, Physics Department, University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Zografos 157 84, Athens, Greece.

出版信息

Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2006 Mar;73(3 Pt 1):031114. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.73.031114. Epub 2006 Mar 27.

Abstract

Electric signals have been recently recorded at the Earth's surface with amplitudes appreciably larger than those hitherto reported. Their entropy in natural time is smaller than that of a "uniform" distribution. The same holds for their entropy upon time reversal. Such a behavior, which is also found by numerical simulations in fractional Brownian motion time series and in an on-off intermittency model, stems from infinitely ranged long range temporal correlations and hence these signals are probably seismic electric signal activities (critical dynamics). This classification is strikingly confirmed since three strong nearby earthquakes occurred (which is an extremely unusual fact) after the original submission of the present paper. The entropy fluctuations are found to increase upon approaching bursting, which is reminiscent of the behavior identifying sudden cardiac death individuals when analyzing their electrocardiograms.

摘要

最近在地球表面记录到的电信号,其振幅明显大于迄今报道的信号。它们在自然时间中的熵小于“均匀”分布的熵。时间反转时它们的熵也是如此。这种行为在分数布朗运动时间序列和开关间歇性模型的数值模拟中也能发现,源于无限范围的长程时间相关性,因此这些信号可能是地震电信号活动(临界动力学)。自从本文最初提交后发生了三次附近的强烈地震(这是一个极其不寻常的事实),这一分类得到了惊人的证实。发现熵波动在接近爆发时会增加,这让人联想到在分析心电图时识别心脏猝死个体的行为。

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