Belmin Joël, Auffray Jean-Christian, Berbezier Christine, Boirin Pascal, Mercier Sophie, de Reviers Béatrice, Golmard Jean-Louis
Service de gériatrie, Hôptal Charles Foix and Université Paris 6, Ivry-sur-Seine, France.
Age Ageing. 2007 May;36(3):298-303. doi: 10.1093/ageing/afm026. Epub 2007 Mar 24.
In France, the August 2003 heat wave was responsible for considerable excess mortality among the elderly. We wonder whether the dependency level could be a marker of the risk for mortality during this heat wave.
Retrospective cohort study of deaths that occurred between 1 and 20 August 2003, conducted in five departments in the Paris area (Ile-de-France) among the beneficiaries of the Allocation personnalisée d'autonomie (APA), a stipend specifically allocated to dependent subjects > or =60 years of age. Their dependency level was determined by the GIR group (defined by the French law) used to fix the APA amount. Subjects' GIR group classification and demographic variables were obtained from departmental administrative files.
Among the 31,603 APA beneficiaries alive on 31 July 2003, 16,779 were community dwellers and 14,824 lived in institutions. Between 1 and 20 August 2003, 858 subjects died: 300 community dwellers and 558 institutionalised (mortality rates of 2.7, 1.8 and 3.8 per cent, respectively). Independent risk factors for mortality were: age, sex and GIR group in community dwellers; age, GIR group and living in a region highly exposed to heatwave mortality for institutionalised elderly; independent factors for mortality were age, sex, GIR group, type of residence (institution/community), living in a region highly exposed to heatwave mortality and income for the overall population.
The dependency level was associated with mortality during the 2003 heatwave in France, especially for elderly community dwellers. Dependency might help identify high-risk subjects and guide targeted prevention measures against heatwave-associated mortality.
在法国,2003年8月的热浪导致老年人死亡率大幅上升。我们想知道依赖程度是否可以作为此次热浪期间死亡风险的一个指标。
对2003年8月1日至20日期间发生的死亡进行回顾性队列研究,研究对象为巴黎地区(法兰西岛)五个部门中领取个人自主津贴(APA)的受益人,该津贴专门发放给60岁及以上的依赖对象。他们的依赖程度由用于确定APA金额的GIR组(由法国法律定义)决定。受试者的GIR组分类和人口统计学变量来自部门行政档案。
在2003年7月31日还活着的31603名APA受益人中,16779人居住在社区,14824人住在机构。在2003年8月1日至20日期间,858名受试者死亡:300名社区居民和558名机构居住者(死亡率分别为2.7%、1.8%和3.8%)。社区居民死亡的独立风险因素为:年龄、性别和GIR组;机构居住的老年人死亡的独立风险因素为:年龄、GIR组以及居住在热浪死亡率高的地区;总体人群死亡的独立因素为:年龄、性别、GIR组、居住类型(机构/社区)、居住在热浪死亡率高的地区和收入。
在2003年法国热浪期间,依赖程度与死亡率相关,尤其是对于老年社区居民。依赖程度可能有助于识别高危人群,并指导针对热浪相关死亡率的有针对性的预防措施。