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首次植入起搏器后院内事件的发生率及预测因素

Incidence and predictors of in-hospital events after first implantation of pacemakers.

作者信息

van Eck J W M, van Hemel N M, Zuithof P, van Asseldonk J P M, Voskuil T L H M, Grobbee D E, Moons K G M

机构信息

Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Bolognalaan 12, 3584 CJ Utrecht, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Europace. 2007 Oct;9(10):884-9. doi: 10.1093/europace/eum113. Epub 2007 Jun 7.

Abstract

AIMS

Despite an annual rise in the numbers of patients receiving their first pacemaker (PM), the risks of the implantation procedure remains unclear. The purpose of this prospective study is to estimate the incidence of in-hospital events after first PM implantation and to determine the predictors of these events.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Patients with conventional pacing diagnosis were included in the Dutch multicentre FOLLOWPACE PM registry that prospectively documented patients' prognosis and quality of life, and PM events after first implantation. From these registry characteristics, implantation data and in-hospital findings were analysed as potential predictors for events in a sample of 1198 patients. In 111 patients studied, at least one serious in-hospital event occurred (incidence 10.1%, 95%CI: 8.9-12.3). Six variables, i.e. a lower body mass index, presence of heart failure in medical history, main indication for implantation, vena subclavia use for venous access, active atrial lead fixation, and the implantation of a dual chamber system, were found to be independent predictors of events after first PM implantation. The overall multivariable model yielded an ROC area of 0.65 (95%CI: 0.60-0.70).

CONCLUSION

This large prospective multicentre study identified six variables as independent predictors for serious in-hospital events after first implantation. This may assist the implanting cardiologist and surgeon to identify patients at higher risk, during and immediately after PM implantation.

摘要

目的

尽管每年接受首次起搏器(PM)植入的患者数量有所增加,但植入手术的风险仍不明确。这项前瞻性研究的目的是估计首次PM植入后院内事件的发生率,并确定这些事件的预测因素。

方法与结果

患有传统起搏诊断的患者被纳入荷兰多中心FOLLOWPACE PM注册研究,该研究前瞻性记录了患者的预后、生活质量以及首次植入后的PM事件。从这些注册研究的特征、植入数据和院内检查结果中,分析了1198例患者样本中事件的潜在预测因素。在研究的111例患者中,至少发生了1次严重的院内事件(发生率10.1%,95%置信区间:8.9 - 12.3)。发现6个变量,即较低的体重指数、病史中有心力衰竭、植入的主要指征、使用锁骨下静脉进行静脉通路、主动心房导线固定以及双腔系统的植入,是首次PM植入后事件的独立预测因素。总体多变量模型的ROC曲线下面积为0.65(95%置信区间:0.60 - 0.70)。

结论

这项大型前瞻性多中心研究确定了6个变量作为首次植入后严重院内事件的独立预测因素。这可能有助于植入心脏科医生和外科医生在PM植入期间及植入后立即识别高风险患者。

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