Science. 1981 Jun 19;212(4501):1383-4. doi: 10.1126/science.212.4501.1383.
An energy-balance numerical climate model was used to simulate the effects of the Mount St. Helens volcanic eruption of 18 May 1980. The resulting surface temperature depression is a maximum of 0.1 degrees C in the winter in the polar region, but is an order of magnitude smaller than the observed natural variability from other effects and will therefore be undetectable.
利用能量平衡数值气候模型模拟了 1980 年 5 月 18 日圣海伦斯火山爆发的影响。由此产生的地表温度下降在极地的冬季最大为 0.1 摄氏度,但比其他因素引起的自然变化小一个数量级,因此将无法察觉。