Zackrisson Sophia, Janzon Lars, Manjer Jonas, Andersson Ingvar
Department of Clinical Sciences in Malmö, Epidemiology, Lund University, Malmö University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden.
J Med Screen. 2007;14(3):138-43. doi: 10.1258/096914107782066239.
Breast cancers detected between screening examinations can influence the sensitivity of a screening programme. Studies of the prognosis of these so-called interval breast cancers show diverging results. We investigated the course of interval breast cancer over time in the Malmö Mammographic Screening Trial (MMST) 1976-86 and the Malmö Mammographic Service Screening Programme (MMSSP) 1990-99.
Stage distribution and survival of interval cancers in MMSSP were compared with screen-detected and non-attender cancer cases in MMSSP, with interval cancers in MMST and with breast cancer cases in a non-screened population five years before the start of MMSSP (pre-screening cancer cases).
In MMSSP 1990-99, the interval cancers did not differ in stage distribution or survival compared with cancer cases in non-attenders, while screen-detected cancer cases had more favourable stage distribution and rate of survival than had the interval cancer cases. The MMST interval cancer cases, 1976-1986, had more favourable stage distribution but higher overall case fatality rate, relative risks (RR) 1.78 (1.00-3.20), and breast cancer case fatality rate, RR 2.05 (1.05-4.00), compared with the more recent MMSSP interval cancer cases. No significant difference in five-year survival was seen in the MMSSP interval cancer cases compared with pre-screening cancer cases not exposed to screening.
In this urban population invited to mammographic screening, the survival rate for women with interval cancer has improved over a period of 20 years. Further studies are needed to assess what factors might explain changes in the course of interval breast cancer.
在筛查检查之间检测出的乳腺癌会影响筛查项目的敏感性。对这些所谓的间期乳腺癌预后的研究结果存在分歧。我们调查了1976 - 1986年马尔默乳腺X线筛查试验(MMST)和1990 - 1999年马尔默乳腺X线服务筛查项目(MMSSP)中间期乳腺癌随时间的病程。
将MMSSP中间期癌症的分期分布和生存率与MMSSP中筛查发现的癌症病例、未参加筛查者的癌症病例、MMST中的间期癌症病例以及MMSSP开始前五年未进行筛查人群中的乳腺癌病例(筛查前癌症病例)进行比较。
在1990 - 1999年的MMSSP中,间期癌症与未参加筛查者的癌症病例在分期分布或生存率方面没有差异,而筛查发现的癌症病例比分期间期癌症病例具有更有利的分期分布和生存率。1976 - 1986年MMST的间期癌症病例分期分布更有利,但总体病死率更高,相对风险(RR)为1.78(1.00 - 3.20),乳腺癌病死率RR为2.05(1.05 - 4.00),与较新的MMSSP间期癌症病例相比。与未接受筛查的筛查前癌症病例相比,MMSSP间期癌症病例的五年生存率没有显著差异。
在这个受邀参加乳腺X线筛查的城市人群中,间期癌症女性的生存率在20年期间有所提高。需要进一步研究以评估哪些因素可能解释间期乳腺癌病程的变化。