Nakamura J, Toyabe S-I, Aoyagi Y, Akazawa K
Division of Information Science and Biostatistics, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Niigata, Japan.
J Viral Hepat. 2008 Apr;15(4):293-9. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2893.2007.00943.x.
It is difficult to achieve a sustained virologic response from antiviral therapy for genotype 1 hepatitis C virus-infected patients without a sufficient virologic response in the early weeks after treatment. However, a recent study has reported on the effectiveness of an extended course of treatment with peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin for slow virologic responders. The aim of this study was to evaluate the economic impact of an extended course of treatment. A Markov cohort model of hepatitis C was designed in order to demonstrate the clinical states, based on the assigned transition probabilities over 30 years. The slow virologic responders treated with an extended 72-week course of therapy could increase by 0.55 the quality-adjusted life years (=15.35-14.80) and reduce the lifetime cost by $2762 (=71 559-69 438) in comparison with those treated by the standard 48-week course. One-way sensitivity analyses did not change the cost-effectiveness. Therefore, the extended 72 weeks of treatment with peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin for slow virologic responders could be cost-effective in comparison with the standard 48 weeks of treatment.
对于丙型肝炎病毒1型感染患者,如果在治疗后的最初几周内没有足够的病毒学应答,那么通过抗病毒治疗实现持续病毒学应答是困难的。然而,最近一项研究报告了聚乙二醇干扰素α-2a加利巴韦林延长疗程对病毒学应答缓慢者的有效性。本研究的目的是评估延长疗程治疗的经济影响。设计了一个丙型肝炎的马尔可夫队列模型,以便根据30年期间指定的转移概率来展示临床状态。与接受标准48周疗程治疗的患者相比,接受延长至72周疗程治疗的病毒学应答缓慢者的质量调整生命年可增加0.55(=15.35 - 14.80),终身成本降低2762美元(=71559 - 69438)。单向敏感性分析并未改变成本效益。因此,与标准的48周治疗相比,聚乙二醇干扰素α-2a加利巴韦林对病毒学应答缓慢者延长至72周的治疗可能具有成本效益。