Bauer P
Department of Medical Statistics, University of Cologne, Köln, Germany.
Stat Med. 1991 Jun;10(6):871-89; discussion 889-90. doi: 10.1002/sim.4780100609.
The basic ideas of multiple testing are outlined and the problem of how to control the probability of erroneous decisions is discussed. The main emphasis is on the concept of the multiple level of significance (controlling the experiment, or family error in the strong sense) which can be achieved by applying the principle of closed tests. Various practical situations encountered in multiple testing in clinical trials are considered: more than one end point; more than two treatments, such as comparisons with a single control, comparisons using ordered alternatives, all pairwise comparisons and contrast methods; and more than one trial. Tests based on global statistics, the union intersection principle and other criteria are discussed. The application of the multiple test concept in sequential sampling is investigated. Finally some comments are made on multiple power, multiple confidence intervals and directed decisions.
本文概述了多重检验的基本思想,并讨论了如何控制错误决策概率的问题。主要重点是多重显著性水平的概念(在强意义上控制实验或族错误),这可以通过应用封闭检验原则来实现。考虑了临床试验中多重检验遇到的各种实际情况:不止一个终点;不止两种治疗方法,如与单一对照的比较、使用有序备择假设的比较、所有成对比较和对比方法;以及不止一项试验。讨论了基于全局统计量、并集交集原则和其他标准的检验。研究了多重检验概念在序贯抽样中的应用。最后对多重功效、多重置信区间和定向决策作了一些评论。