Rost Natalia S, Smith Eric E, Chang Yuchiao, Snider Ryan W, Chanderraj Rishi, Schwab Kristin, FitzMaurice Emily, Wendell Lauren, Goldstein Joshua N, Greenberg Steven M, Rosand Jonathan
Massachusetts General Hospital, Center for Human Genetic Research, Boston, MA 02114, USA.
Stroke. 2008 Aug;39(8):2304-9. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.107.512202. Epub 2008 Jun 12.
Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is the most fatal and disabling stroke subtype. Widely used tools for prediction of mortality are fundamentally limited in that they do not account for effects of withdrawal of care and are not designed to predict functional recovery. We developed an acute clinical score to predict likelihood of functional independence.
We prospectively characterized 629 consecutive patients with ICH at hospital presentation. Predictors of functional independence (Glasgow Outcome Score > or = 4) at 90 days were used to develop a logistic regression-based risk stratification scale in a random subset of two thirds and validated in the remaining one third of the cohort.
At 90 days, 162 (26%) patients achieved independence. Age, Glasgow Coma Scale, ICH location, volume (all P<0.0001), and pre-ICH cognitive impairment (P=0.005) were independently associated with Glasgow Outcome Score > or = 4. The FUNC score was developed as a sum of individual points (0-11) based on strength of association with outcome. In both the development and validation cohorts, the proportion of patients who achieved Glasgow Outcome Score > or = 4 increased steadily with FUNC score. No patient assigned a FUNC score < or = 4 achieved functional independence, whereas > 80% with a score of 11 did. The predictive accuracy of the FUNC score remained unchanged when restricted to ICH survivors only, consistent with absence of confounding by early withdrawal of care.
FUNC score is a valid clinical assessment tool that identifies patients with ICH who will attain functional independence and thus, can provide guidance in clinical decision-making and patient selection for clinical trials.
脑出血(ICH)是最致命且致残的卒中亚型。广泛使用的死亡率预测工具存在根本局限性,即它们未考虑放弃治疗的影响,且并非设计用于预测功能恢复情况。我们开发了一种急性临床评分系统来预测功能独立的可能性。
我们对629例连续入院的脑出血患者进行了前瞻性特征分析。在三分之二的随机子集中,使用90天时功能独立(格拉斯哥预后评分≥4)的预测因素来开发基于逻辑回归的风险分层量表,并在队列中其余三分之一的患者中进行验证。
90天时,162例(26%)患者实现了功能独立。年龄、格拉斯哥昏迷量表、脑出血部位、出血量(均P<0.0001)以及脑出血前认知障碍(P=0.005)与格拉斯哥预后评分≥4独立相关。FUNC评分是根据与预后的关联强度将各个分数(0 - 11分)相加得出。在开发队列和验证队列中,随着FUNC评分的增加,实现格拉斯哥预后评分≥4的患者比例稳步上升。FUNC评分≤4的患者无一实现功能独立,而评分11分的患者中超过80%实现了功能独立。当仅将FUNC评分应用于脑出血幸存者时,其预测准确性保持不变,这与早期放弃治疗未造成混淆一致。
FUNC评分是一种有效的临床评估工具,可识别能实现功能独立的脑出血患者,从而为临床试验的临床决策和患者选择提供指导。