Soc Secur Bull. 1991 Jun;54(6):2-11.
This article presents the "Summary of the 1991 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance Trust Funds." The Board reports the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund, by itself, and the combined OASI and Disability Insurance (DI) Trust Funds meet the short-range test of financial adequacy, based on intermediate assumptions. However, under conditions that are more pessimistic than the intermediate assumptions, the DI Trust Fund would be depleted during the next 10 years. Under intermediate assumptions, the long-range 75-year estimates, excluding the effects of interest income, indicate the OASDI program will experience about 26 years of positive annual balances, with annual deficits indefinitely thereafter. Including interest, the trust funds would continue to grow, in dollars, for another decade, before steadily declining to exhaustion 50 years from now.
本文呈现了“1991年联邦老年及遗属保险和伤残保险信托基金董事会年度报告摘要”。董事会报告称,仅老年及遗属保险(OASI)信托基金,以及OASI与伤残保险(DI)合并信托基金,基于中期假设,均符合财务充足性的短期测试。然而,在比中期假设更为悲观的情况下,DI信托基金将在未来10年内耗尽。在中期假设下,长期75年的预估(不包括利息收入的影响)表明,老年、遗属及伤残保险(OASDI)计划将经历约26年的年度结余为正的情况,此后将无限期出现年度赤字。计入利息后,信托基金在美元价值上还将持续增长十年,之后才会稳步下降直至从现在起50年后耗尽。