Linos Eleni, Swetter Susan M, Cockburn Myles G, Colditz Graham A, Clarke Christina A
Northern California Cancer Center, Fremont, California, USA.
J Invest Dermatol. 2009 Jul;129(7):1666-74. doi: 10.1038/jid.2008.423. Epub 2009 Jan 8.
It is controversial whether worldwide increases in melanoma incidence represent a true epidemic. Dramatic increases in incidence in the setting of relatively stable mortality trends have also been attributed to expanded skin screening and detection of biologically indolent tumors with low metastatic potential. To better understand how melanoma incidence trends varied by severity at diagnosis and factors relevant to screening access, we assessed recent United States incidence and mortality trends by histologic type, tumor thickness, and area-level socioeconomic status (SES). We obtained population-based data regarding diagnoses of invasive melanoma among non-Hispanic whites from nearly 291 million person-years of observation by the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) program (1992-2004). Age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates were calculated for SEER and a subset (California) for which small-area SES measure was available. Overall, melanoma incidence increased at 3.1% (P<0.001) per year. Statistically significant rises occurred for tumors of all histologic subtypes and thicknesses, including those >4 mm. Melanoma incidence rates doubled in all SES groups over a 10-year period whereas melanoma mortality rates did not increase significantly. We conclude that screening-associated diagnosis of thinner melanomas cannot explain the increasing rates of thicker melanomas among low SES populations with poorer access to screening.
全球黑色素瘤发病率的上升是否代表一种真正的流行仍存在争议。在相对稳定的死亡率趋势背景下,发病率的显著上升也归因于皮肤筛查的扩大以及对具有低转移潜能的生物学惰性肿瘤的检测。为了更好地了解黑色素瘤发病率趋势如何因诊断时的严重程度以及与筛查可及性相关的因素而有所不同,我们按组织学类型、肿瘤厚度和地区层面的社会经济地位(SES)评估了美国近期的发病率和死亡率趋势。我们从监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)计划(1992 - 2004年)对近2.91亿人年的观察中获得了基于人群的非西班牙裔白人侵袭性黑色素瘤诊断数据。计算了SEER以及可获得小区域SES测量值的一个子集(加利福尼亚州)的年龄调整发病率和死亡率。总体而言,黑色素瘤发病率每年以3.1%(P<0.001)的速度上升。所有组织学亚型和厚度的肿瘤,包括那些厚度>4毫米的肿瘤,发病率均出现统计学上的显著上升。在10年期间,所有SES组的黑色素瘤发病率都翻了一番,而黑色素瘤死亡率没有显著增加。我们得出结论,筛查相关的较薄黑色素瘤诊断无法解释筛查可及性较差的低SES人群中较厚黑色素瘤发病率的上升。