Kiely Dan K, Marcantonio Edward R, Inouye Sharon K, Shaffer Michele L, Bergmann Margaret A, Yang Frances M, Fearing Michael A, Jones Richard N
Institute for Aging Research, Hebrew SeniorLife, Boston, Massachusetts 02131-1097, USA.
J Am Geriatr Soc. 2009 Jan;57(1):55-61. doi: 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2008.02092.x.
To examine the association between persistent delirium and 1-year mortality in newly admitted postacute care (PAC) facility patients with delirium who were followed regardless of residence.
Observational cohort study.
Eight greater-Boston skilled nursing facilities specializing in PAC.
Four hundred twelve PAC patients with delirium at admission after an acute hospitalization.
Assessments were done at baseline and four follow-up times: 2, 4, 12, and 26 weeks. Delirium, defined using the Confusion Assessment Method, was assessed, as were factors used as covariates in analyses: age, sex, comorbidity, functional status, and dementia. The outcome was 1-year mortality determined according to the National Death Index and corroborated using medical record and proxy telephone interview.
Nearly one-third of subjects remained delirious at 6 months. Cumulative 1-year mortality was 39%. Independent of age, sex, comorbidity, functional status, and dementia, subjects with persistent delirium were 2.9 (95% confidence interval 51.9-4.4) times as likely to die during the 1-year follow-up as subjects whose delirium resolved. This association remained strong and significant in groups with and without dementia. Additionally, when delirium resolved, the risk of death diminished thereafter.
In patients who were delirious at the time of PAC admission, persistent delirium was a significant independent predictor of 1-year mortality.
研究新入住急性后护理(PAC)机构且伴有谵妄的患者(无论其居住地点)中,持续性谵妄与1年死亡率之间的关联。
观察性队列研究。
波士顿地区八家专门从事PAC的熟练护理机构。
412例急性住院后入院时伴有谵妄的PAC患者。
在基线及4个随访时间点(2周、4周、12周和26周)进行评估。使用混乱评估方法定义谵妄并进行评估,同时评估分析中用作协变量的因素:年龄、性别、合并症、功能状态和痴呆。结局为根据国家死亡指数确定的1年死亡率,并通过病历和代理电话访谈进行核实。
近三分之一的受试者在6个月时仍处于谵妄状态。1年累计死亡率为39%。不考虑年龄、性别、合并症、功能状态和痴呆,持续性谵妄的受试者在1年随访期间死亡的可能性是谵妄已缓解受试者的2.9倍(95%置信区间为1.9 - 4.4)。在有痴呆和无痴呆的组中,这种关联仍然很强且具有统计学意义。此外,当谵妄缓解后,死亡风险随之降低。
在PAC入院时伴有谵妄的患者中,持续性谵妄是1年死亡率的重要独立预测因素。