Perry Amanda E, Gilbody Simon
Centre for Criminal Justice Economics and Psychology, Wentworth College, University of York, Heslington, York, YO1O 5DD, UK.
Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2009 Oct;44(10):853-61. doi: 10.1007/s00127-009-0007-7. Epub 2009 Mar 12.
Research has revealed high levels of suicide and self-harm within young adult prisoners, but many studies have not considered the applicability and validity of its measurement for both male and female prisoners. Previous studies have focused on retrospective evaluations of instruments which are not useful evidence in informing clinical practice and decision making.
To evaluate the validation and prediction of suicide and self-harm risk in young adult prisoners.
The study was divided into two stages. Stage one used a cross-sectional design of 1,166 prisoners across six HM Prisons to validate the use of three questionnaires: the Beck Depression Inventory, the Beck Hopelessness Scale and a newly devised instrument (SCOPE tool). The second stage assessed the predictive validity of the three instruments using a 4-year-follow-up study of female prisoners across two HM Prisons in UK. Self-report and official records were used to measure suicide and self-harm risk. Logistic regression methodology, receiver operator characteristic curves and Youden's index were used to determine the range of thresholds for the three tools.
Self-report measurement of suicide and self-harm behaviour using the three instruments presented a range of sensitivity and specificity values (65.9-72.3% and 64.9-74.0%, respectively). Predictive measurement of suicide and self-harm behaviour in the follow-up study presented a range of sensitivity and specificity values (54.6-80% and 62.2-69.4%, respectively).
Screening for self-harm and suicidal behaviour in young prisoners has generated a range of cut off points for the identification of those at risk. These serve as a bench mark for service planners and practitioners.
研究表明,年轻成年囚犯的自杀和自残率很高,但许多研究并未考虑其测量方法对男性和女性囚犯的适用性和有效性。以往的研究主要集中在对工具的回顾性评估上,而这些评估对指导临床实践和决策并无实际帮助。
评估年轻成年囚犯自杀和自残风险的验证及预测情况。
该研究分为两个阶段。第一阶段采用横断面设计,对6所英国监狱的1166名囚犯进行调查,以验证三份问卷的使用情况:贝克抑郁量表、贝克绝望量表和一种新设计的工具(SCOPE工具)。第二阶段通过对英国两所监狱的女性囚犯进行为期4年的随访研究,评估这三种工具的预测效度。采用自我报告和官方记录来衡量自杀和自残风险,并运用逻辑回归方法、受试者工作特征曲线和尤登指数来确定这三种工具的阈值范围。
使用这三种工具进行的自杀和自残行为自我报告测量呈现出一系列的敏感度和特异度值(分别为65.9 - 72.3%和64.9 - 74.0%)。随访研究中对自杀和自残行为的预测测量呈现出一系列的敏感度和特异度值(分别为