Ivanov Victor K, Gorsky A I, Kashcheev V V, Maksioutov M A, Tumanov K A
Medical Radiological Research Centre, Russian Academy of Medical Sciences, Kaluga Region, Russia.
Radiat Environ Biophys. 2009 Aug;48(3):247-52. doi: 10.1007/s00411-009-0223-2. Epub 2009 Mar 27.
The paper presents estimates for the latent period of the induction of radiogenic solid cancers among Chernobyl emergency workers (males) living in six central regions of Russia. The analysis is based on medical and dosimetry data gathered by the National Radiation and Epidemiological Registry over the time period from 1986 to 2005. The cohort includes 59,770 persons who stayed in the exposure zone (30-km zone around the Chernobyl nuclear power plant) in 1986-1987. There were 2,718 cases of solid tumors identified during the follow-up time in this cohort. The mean radiation dose in the cohort is 0.13 Gy. The radiation risk and latent period were estimated using the method of maximum likelihood. The excess relative risk per unit dose was found to be 0.96 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.3-1.7) and the minimum latent period for induction of solid tumors is 4.0 years (95% CI: 3.3-4.9).