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1982年至2005年间美国警方报告的酒精涉入致命货运车辆撞车事故的有效性。

Validity of police-reported alcohol involvement in fatal motor carrier crashes in the United States between 1982 and 2005.

作者信息

McCarthy Melissa L, Sheng Peilin, Baker Susan P, Rebok George W, Li Guohua

机构信息

Department of Emergency Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland 21209, USA.

出版信息

J Safety Res. 2009;40(3):227-32. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2009.04.001. Epub 2009 May 9.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To examine the validity of police-reported alcohol data for drivers involved in fatal motor carrier crashes.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We determined the availability of blood alcohol concentration (BAC) and police-reported alcohol data on 157,702 drivers involved in fatal motor carrier crashes between 1982 - 2005 using Fatality Analysis and Reporting System (FARS) data. Drivers were categorized as motor carrier drivers if they operated a vehicle with a gross vehicle weight rating of greater than 26,000 pounds. Otherwise, they were classified as non motor carrier drivers. The sensitivity and specificity of police-reported alcohol involvement were estimated for both driver types.

RESULTS

Of the 157,702 drivers, 18% had no alcohol information, 15% had BAC results, 42% had police-reported alcohol data, and 25% had both. Alcohol information varied significantly by driver, crash, and vehicle characteristics. For example, motor carrier drivers were significantly more likely (51%) to have BAC testing results compared to non motor carrier drivers (31%) (p<0.001). The sensitivity of police-reported alcohol involvement for a BAC level>or=0.08 was 83% (95% CI 79%, 86%) for motor carrier drivers and 90% (95% CI 89%, 90%) for non motor carrier drivers. The specificity rates were 96% (95% CI 95%, 96%) and 91% (95% CI 90%, 91%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The sensitivity and specificity of police-reported alcohol involvement are reasonably high for drivers involved in fatal motor carrier crashes. Further research is needed to determine the extent to which the accuracy of police-reported alcohol involvement may be overestimated because of verification bias.

IMPACT ON THE INDUSTRY

Based on the results of this study, the federal government should continue to work with states to strengthen their strategies to increase chemical testing of all drivers involved in fatal crashes.

摘要

目的

检验警方报告的涉及致命货运机动车碰撞事故驾驶员的酒精数据的有效性。

材料与方法

我们利用死亡分析与报告系统(FARS)数据,确定了1982年至2005年间157,702名涉及致命货运机动车碰撞事故驾驶员的血液酒精浓度(BAC)和警方报告的酒精数据。如果驾驶员操作的车辆总重额定值大于26,000磅,则将其归类为货运机动车驾驶员。否则,他们被归类为非货运机动车驾驶员。对两种驾驶员类型估计了警方报告的酒精涉入情况的敏感性和特异性。

结果

在157,702名驾驶员中,18%没有酒精信息,15%有BAC结果,42%有警方报告的酒精数据,25%两者都有。酒精信息因驾驶员、碰撞事故和车辆特征而有显著差异。例如,货运机动车驾驶员进行BAC检测的可能性(51%)显著高于非货运机动车驾驶员(31%)(p<0.001)。对于BAC水平≥0.08,警方报告的酒精涉入情况对货运机动车驾驶员的敏感性为83%(95%可信区间79%,86%),对非货运机动车驾驶员为90%(95%可信区间89%,90%)。特异性率分别为96%(95%可信区间95%,96%)和91%(95%可信区间90%,91%)。

结论

对于涉及致命货运机动车碰撞事故的驾驶员,警方报告的酒精涉入情况的敏感性和特异性相当高。需要进一步研究以确定由于验证偏倚,警方报告的酒精涉入情况的准确性可能被高估的程度。

对行业的影响

基于本研究结果,联邦政府应继续与各州合作,加强其战略,以增加对所有涉及致命事故驾驶员的化学检测。

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