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所有的孩子都去哪儿了?在英国一项大规模持续性家庭调查中,女性报告称,与年轻时相比,她们在年龄较大时无子女的情况更多。

Where have all the children gone? Women's reports of more childlessness at older ages than when they were younger in a large-scale continuous household survey in Britain.

作者信息

Murphy Michael

机构信息

London School of Economics & Political Science.

出版信息

Popul Stud (Camb). 2009 Jul;63(2):115-33. doi: 10.1080/00324720902917238.

Abstract

Levels of childlessness reported by the same cohorts of women and surveyed by the British General Household Survey increase with age by over 50 per cent between their early 40s and their late 50s for women born in the early 1940s. Yet the reported mean fertility of parous women remains constant with increasing age. Similar results hold within sub-groups such as different educational and marital status groups. Possible reasons for these findings include declining comparability of the base population over time due to differential migration, mortality, or institutionalization, changes in survey design and content, and differential non-response by childless and parous women. The evidence shows that these are not adequate explanations. The most likely reason is deliberate under-reporting of childbearing among older cohorts of women. The findings have implications for the interpretation of retrospective data in surveys and for the availability of informal care for older people.

摘要

由英国综合家庭调查所调查的同一批女性报告的无子女率,对于出生于20世纪40年代初的女性而言,在其40岁出头到50岁后期之间,随着年龄增长上升了超过50%。然而,已育女性报告的平均生育率却随着年龄增长保持不变。在不同教育程度和婚姻状况等亚组中也有类似结果。这些发现的可能原因包括,由于不同的迁移、死亡率或机构收容情况,基础人群随时间推移可比性下降,调查设计和内容的变化,以及无子女和已育女性不同的无应答情况。有证据表明这些解释并不充分。最可能的原因是老年女性群体故意少报生育情况。这些发现对调查中回顾性数据的解释以及老年人非正式照料的可得性具有影响。

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