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法国一般实践中 2009 年大流行性流感 A(H1N1)病毒活动的早期估计:流感样疾病的发病率和报告病例的年龄分布。

Early estimates of 2009 pandemic influenza A(H1N1) virus activity in general practice in France: incidence of influenza-like illness and age distribution of reported cases.

机构信息

Institut national de la sante et de la recherche medicale (INSERM), UMR S 707, F-75012, Paris, France.

出版信息

Euro Surveill. 2009 Oct 1;14(39):19341. doi: 10.2807/ese.14.39.19341-en.

DOI:10.2807/ese.14.39.19341-en
PMID:19814965
Abstract

In the end of August 2009, an unusually elevated level of influenza-like illness (ILI) activity was reported to the French Sentinel Network. We quantified the observed excess in ILI cases in France during summer 2009 and characterised age patterns in reported cases. An excess of cases has been observed since 5 July, with a time increasing trend. The cumulated estimated excess number of ILI cases was 269,935 [179,585; 316,512], corresponding to 0.5% French population over the period. Compared to the same period in the past years, relative cumulated incidence was greater among young subjects and lower among subjects over 65 years old. Compared to past epidemics, the relative cumulated incidence was greater in children less than 5 years old. This excess of cases may reflect the current spread of the A(H1N1) virus in France, subject to the following limitations: estimates were based on clinical cases consulting a GP; large media coverage may have led to a non specific increase in consultation rates.

摘要

2009 年 8 月底,法国哨点网络报告了异常高水平的流感样疾病(ILI)活动。我们量化了 2009 年夏季法国观察到的 ILI 病例的额外数量,并描述了报告病例的年龄模式。自 7 月 5 日以来,病例一直呈增加趋势。累计估计的 ILI 病例数为 269935 例[179585;316512],占该时期法国人口的 0.5%。与过去几年同期相比,年轻人群的相对累计发病率较高,而 65 岁以上人群的相对累计发病率较低。与过去的流行情况相比,5 岁以下儿童的相对累计发病率较高。这种病例的增加可能反映了当前 A(H1N1)病毒在法国的传播,需注意以下限制因素:估计是基于向全科医生咨询的临床病例;大量媒体报道可能导致咨询率非特异性增加。

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