Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of California, 1 Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616, USA.
Proc Biol Sci. 2010 Apr 22;277(1685):1281-7. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2009.1910. Epub 2009 Dec 23.
Climate change is altering geographical ranges, population dynamics and phenologies of many organisms. For ectotherms, increased ambient temperatures frequently have direct consequences for metabolic rates, activity patterns and developmental rates. Consequently, in many insect species both an earlier beginning and prolongation of seasonal duration occurred in parallel with recent global warming. However, from an ecological and evolutionary perspective, the number of generations (voltinism) and investment into each generation may be even more important than seasonality, since an additional generation per unit time may accelerate population growth or adaptation. Using a dataset extending back to the mid-nineteenth century, I report changes in the voltinism of butterfly and moth species of Central Europe. A significant proportion of 263 multi-voltine species showed augmented frequency of second and subsequent generations relative to the first generation in a warm period since 1980, and 44 species even increased the number of generations after 1980. Expected ecological consequences are diverse. Since multi-voltinism has been linked to insect outbreaks they include an increase in the abundance of herbivorous pests of agriculture and forestry. However, disruption of the developmental synchrony associated with multi-voltinism and host plant phenology may also reduce fitness, potentially having unexpected consequences for species of conservation concern. The ability of species to adapt evolutionarily to a changing environment may be facilitated by increased voltinism.
气候变化正在改变许多生物的地理分布范围、种群动态和物候期。对于变温动物来说,环境温度的升高常常对代谢率、活动模式和发育率产生直接影响。因此,在许多昆虫物种中,季节性持续时间的提前开始和延长与最近的全球变暖并行发生。然而,从生态和进化的角度来看,世代数(多化性)和每一世代的投资可能比季节性更为重要,因为单位时间内增加一个世代可能会加速种群增长或适应。利用可追溯到 19 世纪中叶的数据集,我报告了中欧蝴蝶和蛾类物种的多化性变化。在自 1980 年以来的温暖时期,263 种多化性物种中有相当一部分物种的第二代和随后的世代相对于第一代的出现频率增加,44 种物种甚至在 1980 年后增加了世代数。预期的生态后果是多种多样的。由于多化性与昆虫爆发有关,它们包括农业和林业食草害虫数量的增加。然而,多化性和宿主植物物候之间的发育同步性的破坏也可能降低适应性,这可能对受保护关注的物种产生意想不到的后果。物种适应不断变化的环境的能力可能会因多化性的增加而得到促进。