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误导性且危险:预防性原则在外交政策辩论中的运用

Misleading and dangerous: the use of the precautionary principle in foreign policy debates.

作者信息

Patterson Alan, McLean Craig

机构信息

Department of Social Sciences, Northumbria University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.

出版信息

Med Confl Surviv. 2010 Jan-Mar;26(1):48-67. doi: 10.1080/13623690903553251.

Abstract

Recent scholarly research has suggested that the Bush Administration embraced the Precautionary Principle (PP) to formulate its policy on Iraq before the coalition invasion in 2003. The article below challenges this argument. Demonstrating the Bush Administration's antipathy--and at times hostility--to the PP in environmental politics, the article outlines the similarities and differences between usage of the PP in foreign policy debates on the one hand, and the established risk strategies of pre-emption and prevention on the other. The article examines the Bush Administration's reaction to Saddam's alleged weapons of mass destruction (WMD) programme by drawing on earlier conceptual work of the PP in international affairs: an acceptance of the limits of the usefulness of intelligence assessments; an openness to alternative solutions; proportionality of response; and reversing the onus of persuasion. Based on these four strands the article argues that the Bush Administration's decision to invade Iraq was based less on the PP and more on the idea of fighting a preventive war.

摘要

近期的学术研究表明,在2003年联军入侵伊拉克之前,布什政府就采用了预防原则(PP)来制定其对伊政策。以下文章对这一观点提出了质疑。该文章展示了布什政府在环境政治中对预防原则的反感,甚至有时是敌意,概述了预防原则在外交政策辩论中的使用与既定的先发制人和预防风险策略之间的异同。文章通过借鉴预防原则在国际事务中的早期概念性成果,审视了布什政府对萨达姆所谓大规模杀伤性武器(WMD)计划的反应:接受情报评估效用的局限性;对替代解决方案持开放态度;回应的相称性;以及扭转说服责任。基于这四个方面,文章认为布什政府入侵伊拉克的决定较少基于预防原则,更多是基于打一场预防性战争的理念。

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