Biometric Research Branch, EPN-8129, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.
J Clin Oncol. 2010 Dec 10;28(35):5197-201. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2010.31.5382. Epub 2010 Nov 8.
Recent reports have suggested that 40% or more of National Cancer Institute (NCI) -sponsored Cooperative Group phase III trials failed to achieve their accrual goals. We examine in detail the accrual experience of the Cooperative Group phase III trials.
All Cooperative Group phase III trials activated from 2000 to 2007 were examined for their accrual experience. For trials that stopped accrual with < 90% of their accrual goal, the reasons for having < 90% accrual were documented. We focus on trials that ended with < 90% accrual because of inadequate accrual rates rather than for other reasons, such as an interim monitoring analysis by an independent data monitoring committee that stops the trial early because one treatment is clearly superior.
There were 191 trials activated from 2000 to 2007. We project that 22.0% of these trials will have < 90% accrual because of inadequate accrual rates. We project that there will be 176,627 patients eventually accrued on the 191 trials (current accrual, 154,579) and that 2,991 of these patients will be on trials that have < 90% accrual because of inadequate accrual rates (1.7%). For nonpediatric cancer trials, the corresponding percentages are 26.7% and 2.0%.
We find that insufficient accrual rates are not as high as previously reported and that only a small proportion of patients were enrolled on trials that ended with insufficient accrual because of an inadequate accrual rate. NCI has implemented new procedures to reduce the number of trials that fail to reach their accrual goals and to minimize the number of patients accrued on these trials.
最近的报告表明,美国国立癌症研究所(NCI)赞助的合作组阶段 III 试验中有 40%或更多未能达到其入组目标。我们详细检查了合作组阶段 III 试验的入组经验。
检查了 2000 年至 2007 年激活的所有合作组阶段 III 试验的入组经验。对于入组率<90%的试验,记录了入组率<90%的原因。我们专注于因入组率低而结束的试验,而不是因其他原因(如独立数据监测委员会的中期监测分析因一种治疗方法明显优越而提前停止试验)。
2000 年至 2007 年期间共激活了 191 项试验。我们预计其中 22.0%的试验将因入组率低而导致入组率<90%。我们预计在这 191 项试验中最终将有 176627 名患者入组(目前入组 154579 名),其中 2991 名将在因入组率低而导致入组率<90%的试验中入组(1.7%)。对于非儿科癌症试验,相应的百分比为 26.7%和 2.0%。
我们发现,入组率不足并不像之前报道的那么高,只有一小部分患者被纳入因入组率低而结束的试验中。NCI 已实施新程序,以减少未能达到入组目标的试验数量,并尽量减少这些试验中入组的患者数量。