Tufts University School of Dental Medicine, Boston, MA, USA.
Stat Med. 2011 Jul 20;30(16):1989-2004. doi: 10.1002/sim.4231. Epub 2011 Apr 26.
Stochastic curtailment is a sequential method to terminate a study when continuing to the end would be unlikely to change the outcome. This method has been researched most commonly in the context of clinical trials. The current paper explores its use in a different setting: the administration of a health questionnaire to patients via computer. A classification procedure augmenting logistic regression with stochastic curtailment is introduced to avoid burdening the patients with unnecessary questions. In a real-data simulation using responses from the Medicare Health Outcomes Survey, the new procedure substantially reduced the average number of questions administered with a minimal loss of classification accuracy.
随机截尾是一种在继续进行研究不太可能改变结果时终止研究的序贯方法。这种方法在临床试验的背景下得到了最广泛的研究。本文探讨了它在一个不同的环境中的应用:通过计算机向患者管理健康问卷。介绍了一种分类程序,该程序通过随机截尾增强逻辑回归,以避免给患者带来不必要的问题。在使用医疗保险健康结果调查的响应进行的真实数据模拟中,新程序大大减少了平均管理的问题数量,同时几乎没有损失分类准确性。