University of Essex.
Popul Dev Rev. 2011;37(1):89-123. doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00391.x.
People's childbearing intentions change over the course of their reproductive lives. These changes have been conceptualized as occurring in response to the realization that an individual is unlikely to achieve his or her intended fertility, because of constraints such as the "biological clock" or lack of a partner. In this article, we find that changes to child-bearing plans are influenced by a much wider range of factors than this. People change their plans in response to the wishes of their partners, in response to social norms, as the result of repartnering, and as the result of learning about the costs and benefits of parenthood; there are also differences between the factors that influence men's and women's decision-making. In a departure from existing studies in this area, we use a flexible analytical framework that enables us to analyze increases in planned fertility separately from decreases. This allows us to uncover several complexities of the decision-making process that would otherwise be hidden, and leads us to conclude that the determinants of increases in planned fertility are not simply equal and opposite to the determinants of decreases.
人们的生育意愿会在其生殖生命过程中发生变化。这些变化被认为是由于个体不太可能实现其预期的生育能力而产生的,这是由于“生物钟”或缺乏伴侣等限制因素所致。在本文中,我们发现,生育计划的变化受到的影响因素比这广泛得多。人们会根据伴侣的意愿、社会规范、再婚以及了解生育的成本和收益等因素来改变计划;男性和女性的决策因素也存在差异。与该领域现有研究不同的是,我们使用了一种灵活的分析框架,使我们能够分别分析生育计划增加和减少的情况。这使我们能够揭示出决策过程中的一些复杂性,如果不这样做,这些复杂性可能会被掩盖,最终我们得出的结论是,生育计划增加的决定因素并不简单地等同于生育计划减少的决定因素。