ISEG-SOCIUS, Technical University of Lisbon, Rua Miguel Lupi 20, Lisbon, Portugal.
Environ Manage. 2011 Nov;48(5):920-32. doi: 10.1007/s00267-011-9733-1. Epub 2011 Sep 13.
In this article, we apply count-data travel-cost methods to a truncated sample of visitors to estimate the Peneda-Gerês National Park (PGNP) average consumer surplus (CS) for each day of visit. The measurement of recreation demand is highly specific because it is calculated by number of days of stay per visit. We therefore propose the application of altered truncated count-data models or truncated count-data models on grouped data to estimate a single, on-site individual recreation demand function, with the price (cost) of each recreation day per trip equal to out-of-pocket and time travel plus out-of-pocket and on-site time costs. We further check the sensitivity of coefficient estimations to alternative models and analyse the welfare measure precision by using the delta and simulation methods by Creel and Loomis. With simulated limits, CS is estimated to be
在本文中,我们应用计数数据旅行成本法对访问者的截断样本进行分析,以估计佩内达-热尔国家公园(PGNP)每位游客的平均消费者剩余(CS)。因为是通过每次访问的停留天数来计算娱乐需求的,所以这种测量方法非常具体。因此,我们提出应用经过修改的截断计数数据模型或分组数据的截断计数数据模型,来估计单次现场个人娱乐需求函数,其中每次旅行的每个娱乐日的价格(成本)等于外部成本和旅行时间加上外部成本和现场时间成本。我们还进一步通过使用 Creel 和 Loomis 的德尔塔和模拟方法,检查替代模型对系数估计的敏感性,并分析福利措施的精度。通过模拟极限,CS 的估计值为 194 欧元(范围为 116 欧元至 448 欧元)。这些信息有助于改进政府政策和 PGNP 管理和保护,并促进基于自然的旅游。据我们所知,这是首次尝试使用基于观察个人停留天数的经过修改的截断分组计数数据旅行成本模型来衡量国家公园中每天产生的平均娱乐净收益。