Raimundo Silvia Martorano, Yang Hyun Mo, Venturino Ezio, Massad Eduardo
Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Biosystems. 2012 Apr-Jun;108(1-3):1-13. doi: 10.1016/j.biosystems.2011.11.009. Epub 2011 Dec 7.
The use of antiretroviral therapy has proven to be remarkably effective in controlling the progression of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and prolonging patient's survival. Therapy however may fail and therefore these benefits can be compromised by the emergence of HIV strains that are resistant to the therapy. In view of these facts, the question of finding the reason for which drug-resistant strains emerge during therapy has become a worldwide problem of great interest. This paper presents a deterministic HIV-1 model to examine the mechanisms underlying the emergence of drug-resistance during therapy. The aim of this study is to determine whether, and how fast, antiretroviral therapy may determine the emergence of drug resistance by calculating the basic reproductive numbers. The existence, feasibility and local stability of the equilibriums are also analyzed. By performing numerical simulations we show that Hopf bifurcation may occur. The model suggests that the individuals with drug-resistant infection may play an important role in the epidemic of HIV.
抗逆转录病毒疗法已被证明在控制人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)感染的进展和延长患者生存期方面非常有效。然而,治疗可能会失败,因此,对该疗法具有抗性的HIV毒株的出现可能会损害这些益处。鉴于这些事实,找出治疗期间耐药毒株出现的原因这一问题已成为一个备受关注的全球性问题。本文提出了一个确定性的HIV-1模型,以研究治疗期间耐药性出现的潜在机制。本研究的目的是通过计算基本繁殖数来确定抗逆转录病毒疗法是否以及多快会导致耐药性的出现。还分析了平衡点的存在性、可行性和局部稳定性。通过进行数值模拟,我们表明可能会发生霍普夫分岔。该模型表明,感染耐药病毒的个体可能在HIV流行中发挥重要作用。