Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Dresden, Germany.
PLoS One. 2011;6(12):e28860. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0028860. Epub 2011 Dec 28.
Without having direct access to the information that is being exchanged, traces of information flow can be obtained by looking at temporal sequences of user interactions. These sequences can be represented as causality trees whose statistics result from a complex interplay between the topology of the underlying (social) network and the time correlations among the communications. Here, we study causality trees in mobile-phone data, which can be represented as a dynamical directed network. This representation of the data reveals the existence of super-spreaders and super-receivers. We show that the tree statistics, respectively the information spreading process, are extremely sensitive to the in-out degree correlation exhibited by the users. We also learn that a given information, e.g., a rumor, would require users to retransmit it for more than 30 hours in order to cover a macroscopic fraction of the system. Our analysis indicates that topological node-node correlations of the underlying social network, while allowing the existence of information loops, they also promote information spreading. Temporal correlations, and therefore causality effects, are only visible as local phenomena and during short time scales. Consequently, the very idea that there is (intentional) information spreading beyond a small vecinity is called into question. These results are obtained through a combination of theory and data analysis techniques.
如果无法直接访问正在交换的信息,则可以通过查看用户交互的时间序列来获取信息流的痕迹。这些序列可以表示为因果关系树,其统计结果来自于基础(社交)网络的拓扑结构和通信之间的时间相关性之间的复杂相互作用。在这里,我们研究了移动电话数据中的因果关系树,它可以表示为动态有向网络。数据的这种表示形式揭示了超级传播者和超级接收者的存在。我们表明,树统计数据,即信息传播过程,对用户表现出的进出度相关性非常敏感。我们还了解到,给定的信息(例如谣言)将需要用户重播 30 多个小时,才能覆盖系统的宏观部分。我们的分析表明,基础社交网络中的节点-节点拓扑相关性,虽然允许存在信息循环,但也促进了信息传播。时间相关性,因此因果效应,仅作为局部现象和短时间尺度可见。因此,存在(有意)信息传播超出小范围的想法受到质疑。这些结果是通过理论和数据分析技术的结合获得的。