Calley Nancy G
University of Detroit Mercy, Detroit, MI, USA.
J Child Sex Abus. 2012;21(3):257-72. doi: 10.1080/10538712.2012.668266.
One hundred and seventy three male juvenile offenders were followed two years postrelease from a residential treatment facility to assess recidivism and factors related to recidivism. The overall recidivism rate was 23.9%. Logistic regression with stepwise and backward variable selection methods was used to examine the relationship between recidivism and nine specific variables: offense type, age at initial involvement in juvenile justice, child welfare system involvement, termination of parental rights, parental criminal history, family support, program completion status, length of treatment stay, and discharge placement. Offender type was the only factor found to have a significant impact on recidivism with general and substance-involved offenders more likely to recidivate than sex offenders. Implications for future research are discussed.
对173名男性少年罪犯从寄宿治疗机构获释两年后进行跟踪,以评估累犯情况以及与累犯相关的因素。总体累犯率为23.9%。采用逐步和向后变量选择方法的逻辑回归来检验累犯与九个特定变量之间的关系:犯罪类型、初次涉足少年司法系统时的年龄、儿童福利系统介入情况、父母权利终止情况、父母犯罪史、家庭支持、项目完成状况、治疗停留时间以及出院安置。发现罪犯类型是对累犯有显著影响的唯一因素,一般罪犯和涉及毒品的罪犯比性犯罪者更有可能再次犯罪。文中讨论了对未来研究的启示。